Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 35.89%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 35.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 1-0 (10.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.