Scottish Championship
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Cappielow Park
  • Eamonn Brophy 22' goal
  • Cláudio Botelho 32' yellowcard
  • Michael O'Halloran 63' yellowcard
  • Cameron MacPherson 64' yellowcard
  • Nathan Shaw 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andy Tod 46'
  • yellowcard Chris Kane 68'
  • yellowcard Freddie Turley 68'

Greenock Morton vs Dunfermline Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Greenock Morton

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Morton 0 - 0 Raith Rovers
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Michael Garrity

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
Dunfermline 0 - 2 Airdrieonians
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Andy Tod

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 35.89%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 35.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 1-0 (10.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result

Greenock Morton 35.32% (-2.12)
Draw 28.79% (+0.65)
Dunfermline Athletic 35.89% (+1.49)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.77% (-0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.64% (-0.66)
Under 1.5 30.36% (+0.67)
Over 2.5 44.16% (-0.61)
Under 2.5 55.84% (+0.61)
Over 3.5 23.16% (-0.31)
Under 3.5 76.84% (+0.32)
Over 4.5 11.64% (-0.10)
Under 4.5 88.36% (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Greenock Morton 26.68% (-1.88)
Draw 45.7% (+2.66)
Dunfermline Athletic 27.62% (-0.76)

Team To Score First

Greenock Morton 42.98% (-3.54)
No Goal 9.58% (+0.34)
Dunfermline Athletic 47.44% (+3.19)

Corners

Over 8 59.7% (+2.09)
Equal 8 11.37% (-0.05)
Under 8 28.94% (-2.02)
Over 9 47.93% (+1.93)
Equal 9 11.76% (+0.16)
Under 9 40.3% (-2.09)
Over 10.5 36.78% (+1.63)
Under 10.5 63.22% (-1.63)

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 1.5 32.9% (-1.64)
Under 1.5 67.1% (+1.63)
Over 2.5 11.75% (-1.02)
Under 2.5 88.25% (+1.02)
Over 3.5 3.37% (-0.23)
Under 3.5 96.63% (+0.23)

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 68.03% (+0.77)
Under 0.5 31.97% (-0.78)
Over 1.5 33.51% (+1.05)
Under 1.5 66.49% (-1.06)
Over 2.5 12.2% (+0.68)
Under 2.5 87.8% (-0.69)
Over 3.5 3.55% (+0.30)
Under 3.5 96.45% (-0.30)

Score analysis

Greenock Morton 35.32%
Draw 28.78%
Dunfermline Athletic 35.89%
Greenock Morton
1-0 @ 10.46% (-0.18)
2-1 @ 7.84% (-0.39)
2-0 @ 6.22% (-0.38)
3-1 @ 3.18% (-0.39)
3-0 @ 2.42% (-0.27)
3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.25)
Other @ 3.28% (-0.32)
Total : 35.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.19% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.58% (+0.34)
2-2 @ 5.06% (+0.10)
Other @ 0.09% (+0.08)
Total : 28.78%
Dunfermline Athletic
0-1 @ 10.31% (+0.49)
1-2 @ 8.26% (+0.19)
0-2 @ 6.07% (+0.33)
1-3 @ 3.29% (+0.09)
0-3 @ 2.47% (+0.15)
2-3 @ 2.03% (+0.05)
Other @ 3.46% (+0.22)
Total : 35.89%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship
Nov 22, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship Gameweek 1
Aug 2, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship Gameweek 36
May 2, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Cappielow Park
  • Owen Moffat 3' goal
  • Grant Gillespie 6' goal
  • Morgan Boyes 66' yellowcard
  • Grant Gillespie 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joe Chalmers 6'
  • yellowcard Jeremiah Chilokoa-Mullen 10'
  • yellowcard Victor Wanyama 28'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 27
Mar 1, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT East End Park
  • Aaron Comrie 43' yellowcard
  • Chris Kane 58' goal
  • Kyle Benedictus 66' redcard
  • Tashan Oakley-Boothe 69' yellowcard
  • Chris Kane 78' goal
  • Lewis McCann 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Chris Kane 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Arron Lyall 13'
  • goal Owen Moffat 33'
  • yellowcard Jack Baird 90'+3'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 18
Dec 21, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Cappielow Park
  • Jordan Davies 14' yellowcard
  • Jordan Davies 14' yellowcard
  • Morgan Boyes 22' goal
  • Morgan Boyes 22' goal
  • Cameron Ballantyne 24' yellowcard
  • Cameron Ballantyne 24' yellowcard
  • Cameron Blues 47' goal
  • Cameron Blues 47' goal
  • Cameron Blues 54' yellowcard
  • yellowcard David Wotherspoon 48'
  • yellowcard David Wotherspoon 48'
  • redcard David Wotherspoon 50'
  • redcard David Wotherspoon 50'
  • yellowcard CJ Hamilton 54'
  • yellowcard Craig Clay 82'
  • yellowcard Craig Clay 90'+3'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 9
Oct 19, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT East End Park
  • Craig Clay 40' yellowcard
  • Chris Kane 70' yellowcard
  • Aaron Comrie 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kirk Broadfoot 50'