Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 50.2%. A draw had a probability of 25.04% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 24.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%) , while for a Ayr United win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.