Scottish Championship
Arbroath
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 1 2
FT Gayfield Park
Dunfermline
  • Ryan Dow 2' goal
  • Aaron Muirhead 49' goal
  • Tom Beadling 53' yellowcard
  • Robbie Fraser 68' goal
  • Aidan Nesbitt 71' yellowcard
  • Scott Stewart 87' yellowcard
  • Findlay Marshall 89' goal
  • goal 14'
  • goal Andy Tod 14'
  • yellowcard Deniz Mehmet 46'
  • yellowcard Chris Kane 63'
  • yellowcard Chris Hamilton 63'
  • yellowcard Josh Cooper 73'
  • yellowcard Alfonso Amade 73'
  • goal Josh Cooper 82'

Arbroath vs Dunfermline Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Arbroath

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
Queen's Park 2 - 1 Arbroath
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Findlay Marshall

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
Morton 2 - 0 Dunfermline
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Andy Tod

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 46.47%. A draw had a probability of 27.16% and a win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 26.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%) , while for a Dunfermline Athletic win it was 0-1 (8.13%).

Result

Arbroath 46.47%
Draw 27.16%
Dunfermline Athletic 26.37%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.5%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.37% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 28.63% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 46.44%
Under 2.5 53.56%
Over 3.5 24.41% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 75.59% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 4.5 12.62% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 87.38% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Arbroath 34.31%
Draw 44.35%
Dunfermline Athletic 21.34%

Team To Score First

Arbroath 54.39% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 8.45%
Dunfermline Athletic 37.16% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 56.92% ▲ (+0.03)
Equal 8 11.84%
Under 8 31.24% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 9 44.93% ▲ (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.99%
Under 9 43.08% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 10.5 33.82% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 10.5 66.18% ▼ (-0.02)

Arbroath Goals

Over 1.5 42.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 57.9% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 17.55%
Under 2.5 82.45%
Over 3.5 5.64%
Under 3.5 94.36%

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 61.85%
Under 0.5 38.15%
Over 1.5 26.63%
Under 1.5 73.37%
Over 2.5 8.43%
Under 2.5 91.57%
Over 3.5 2.23%
Under 3.5 97.77%

Score analysis

Arbroath 46.47%
Draw 27.17%
Dunfermline Athletic 26.37%
Arbroath
1-0 @ 12.06% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.83% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.04% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.56% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.12% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.37%
Other @ 5.49%
Total : 46.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.7%
0-0 @ 8.45%
2-2 @ 5.01%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 27.17%
Dunfermline Athletic
0-1 @ 8.13%
1-2 @ 6.63%
0-2 @ 4.19%
1-3 @ 2.22%
2-3 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 26.37%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship
Dunfermline
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Arbroath
  • Barney Stewart 61' goal
  • Ewan Otoo 65' yellowcard
  • John Tod 81' yellowcard
  • Jefferson Caceres 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Brooklyn Kabongolo 75'
  • yellowcard 90'
  • yellowcard 90'
  • yellowcard Thomas O'Brien 90'
  • yellowcard Thomas O'Brien 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Findlay Marshall 90'+2'
  • goal Brooklyn Kabongolo 90'+5'
Scottish Championship
Arbroath
Sep 13, 2025 3.00pm
0
5
HT : 0 0
FT
Dunfermline
Scottish Championship Gameweek 31
Arbroath
Mar 30, 2024 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 3
FT Gayfield Park
Dunfermline
  • Scott Stewart 54' goal
  • Scott Stewart 64' goal
  • goal Ewan Otoo 24'
  • goal Paul Allan 32'
  • goal Chris Kane 45'
  • yellowcard Kane Ritchie-Hosler 90'+4'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 24
Dunfermline
Feb 17, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT East End Park
Arbroath
  • Malachi Fagan-Walcott 18' goal
  • Xavier Benjamin 21' yellowcard
  • Michael O'Halloran 26' yellowcard
  • Chris Kane 63' yellowcard
  • Lewis McCann 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jess Norey 27'
  • yellowcard Thomas O'Brien 34'
  • goal Thomas O'Brien 52'
  • yellowcard Colin Hamilton 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Colin Hamilton 90'+2'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 17
Arbroath
Dec 23, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Gayfield Park
Dunfermline
  • Jay Bird 21' yellowcard
  • Jay Bird 45'+3' goal
  • Jay Bird 74' redcard
  • Jermaine Hylton 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Jakubiak 67'
  • goal Craig Wighton 90'+1'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 8
Dunfermline
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT East End Park
Arbroath
  • Josh Edwards 48' goal
  • Craig Wighton 73' goal
  • Michael O'Halloran 81' yellowcard
  • Craig Wighton 90' goal
  • yellowcard Thomas O'Brien 38'

Form Data

Arbroath 2 - 2 Airdrieonians
Queen's Park 2 - 1 Arbroath
Arbroath 1 - 1 Morton
Airdrieonians 3 - 3 Arbroath
Arbroath 3 - 0 East Fife
Raith Rovers 0 - 0 Arbroath
Morton 2 - 0 Dunfermline
Dunfermline 2 - 0 Kelty Hearts
Dunfermline 0 - 2 Airdrieonians
St Johnstone 0 - 1 Dunfermline
Dunfermline 1 - 0 Hibernian
Raith Rovers 1 - 2 Dunfermline