Scottish Championship Gameweek 26
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
Gayfield Park

Arbroath vs Dunfermline Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Arbroath

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
Arbroath 0 - 0 Ayr
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Brooklyn Kabongolo

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
Morton 2 - 0 Dunfermline
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Barney Stewart

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arbroath win with a probability of 46.47%. A draw has a probability of 27.16% and a win for Dunfermline Athletic has a probability of 26.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arbroath win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.7%) , while for a Dunfermline Athletic win it is 0-1 (8.13%).

Result

Arbroath 46.47% (-0.08)
Draw 27.16% (-0.02)
Dunfermline Athletic 26.37% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.5% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.39% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 28.61% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 46.44%
Under 2.5 53.56%
Over 3.5 24.39%
Under 3.5 75.61%
Over 4.5 12.61% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 87.39% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Arbroath 34.31%
Draw 44.35%
Dunfermline Athletic 21.34%

Team To Score First

Arbroath 54.38% (-0.06)
No Goal 8.45%
Dunfermline Athletic 37.17% (+0.07)

Corners

Over 8 56.9% (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.84% (+0.02)
Under 8 31.26% (-0.05)
Over 9 44.91% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.99% (+0.02)
Under 9 43.1% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 33.8% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 66.2% (+0.02)

Arbroath Goals

Over 1.5 42.11% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 57.89% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 17.55%
Under 2.5 82.45%
Over 3.5 5.64% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.36% (-0.02)

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 61.85% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 38.15% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 26.63% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 73.37% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 8.43% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 91.57% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.23% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.77% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Arbroath 46.47%
Draw 27.17%
Dunfermline Athletic 26.37%
Arbroath
1-0 @ 12.04% (-0.13)
2-1 @ 9.84% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 8.05%
3-1 @ 4.55% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 4.13% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.37% (+0.02)
Other @ 5.49% (+0.01)
Total : 46.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.7% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 8.45%
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 27.17%
Dunfermline Athletic
0-1 @ 8.13% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 6.63% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 4.19% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.22% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.66%
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.08% (+0.03)
Total : 26.37%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Barney Stewart 61' goal
  • Ewan Otoo 65' yellowcard
  • John Tod 81' yellowcard
  • Jefferson Caceres 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Brooklyn Kabongolo 75'
  • yellowcard 90'
  • yellowcard 90'
  • yellowcard Thomas O'Brien 90'
  • yellowcard Thomas O'Brien 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Findlay Marshall 90'+2'
  • goal Brooklyn Kabongolo 90'+5'
Scottish Championship
Sep 13, 2025 3.00pm
0
5
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish Championship Gameweek 31
Mar 30, 2024 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 3
FT Gayfield Park
  • Scott Stewart 54' goal
  • Scott Stewart 64' goal
  • goal Ewan Otoo 24'
  • goal Paul Allan 32'
  • goal Chris Kane 45'
  • yellowcard Kane Ritchie-Hosler 90'+4'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 24
Feb 17, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT East End Park
  • Malachi Fagan-Walcott 18' goal
  • Xavier Benjamin 21' yellowcard
  • Michael O'Halloran 26' yellowcard
  • Chris Kane 63' yellowcard
  • Lewis McCann 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jess Norey 27'
  • yellowcard Thomas O'Brien 34'
  • goal Thomas O'Brien 52'
  • yellowcard Colin Hamilton 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Colin Hamilton 90'+2'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 17
Dec 23, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Gayfield Park
  • Jay Bird 21' yellowcard
  • Jay Bird 45'+3' goal
  • Jay Bird 74' redcard
  • Jermaine Hylton 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Jakubiak 67'
  • goal Craig Wighton 90'+1'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 8
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT East End Park
  • Josh Edwards 48' goal
  • Craig Wighton 73' goal
  • Michael O'Halloran 81' yellowcard
  • Craig Wighton 90' goal
  • yellowcard Thomas O'Brien 38'