Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cowdenbeath win with a probability of 52.22%. A win for Gretna 2008 had a probability of 25.81% and a draw had a probability of 21.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cowdenbeath win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.15%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Gretna 2008 win was 2-1 (6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.