Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albion Rovers win with a probability of 49.58%. A win for Gretna 2008 had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Albion Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Gretna 2008 win was 1-2 (6.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.