Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts Under-21s win with a probability of 47.11%. A win for Gretna 2008 had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.55%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Gretna 2008 win was 1-2 (6.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.