Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bo'ness United win with a probability of 59.08%. A win for Gretna 2008 had a probability of 21.14% and a draw had a probability of 19.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bo'ness United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.51%) and 0-1 (7.38%). The likeliest Gretna 2008 win was 2-1 (5.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.