Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gretna 2008 win with a probability of 44.65%. A win for East Stirlingshire had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 20.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gretna 2008 win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.49%) and 1-0 (5.26%). The likeliest East Stirlingshire win was 1-2 (6.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.