NIFL Premiership Gameweek 24
Feb 24, 2026 7.45pm
The Showgrounds

Ballymena United vs Glenavon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ballymena United

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Feb 20, 2026 7.45pm
Coleraine 1 - 0 Ballymena
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Igor Rutkowski

Glenavon

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
Bangor 1 - 3 Glenavon
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Paul McGovern

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 48.41%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 26.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 1-2 (6.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result

Ballymena United 48.41% (-0.52)
Draw 25.27% (+0.09)
Glenavon 26.32% (+0.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.8% (+0.24)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.93% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 24.07% (-0.17)
Over 2.5 51.69% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 48.31% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 29.66% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 70.34% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 16.96% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 83.04% (+0.09)

First Half Winner

Ballymena United 35.64% (-0.22)
Draw 40.9% (+0.04)
Glenavon 23.46% (+0.18)

Team To Score First

Ballymena United 56.25% (-0.90)
No Goal 6.62% (-0.02)
Glenavon 37.13% (+0.93)

Corners

Over 8 55.02% (+0.49)
Equal 8 11.73% (-0.05)
Under 8 33.25% (-0.43)
Over 9 43.31% (+0.49)
Equal 9 11.7%
Under 9 44.98% (-0.49)
Over 10.5 32.6% (+0.45)
Under 10.5 67.4% (-0.44)

Ballymena United Goals

Over 1.5 46.27% (-0.27)
Under 1.5 53.73% (+0.27)
Over 2.5 21.55% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 78.45% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 8.03% (-0.20)
Under 3.5 91.97% (+0.19)

Glenavon Goals

Over 0.5 61.98% (+0.59)
Under 0.5 38.02% (-0.59)
Over 1.5 29.28% (+0.42)
Under 1.5 70.72% (-0.41)
Over 2.5 10.24% (+0.21)
Under 2.5 89.76% (-0.20)
Over 3.5 2.87% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 97.13% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Ballymena United 48.41%
Draw 25.27%
Glenavon 26.31%
Ballymena United
1-0 @ 10.82% (-0.19)
2-1 @ 9.26% (+0.10)
2-0 @ 8.15% (-0.13)
3-1 @ 4.83% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 4.52% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.93%
Other @ 7.9% (-0.20)
Total : 48.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.99% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 6.62% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.29%
3-3 @ 1.24% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.13% (+0.02)
Total : 25.27%
Glenavon
1-2 @ 6.71% (+0.13)
0-1 @ 6.62% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 4.11% (+0.10)
1-3 @ 2.57% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.02% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.54% (+0.06)
Other @ 2.74% (+0.08)
Total : 26.31%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership
Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jack Malone 12' goal
  • 64' yellowcard
  • M. Clarke 64' yellowcard
  • 86' yellowcard
  • David McDaid 89' goal
  • Peter Campbell 90'+3' goal
  • goal Success Edogun 5'
  • yellowcard 22'
  • yellowcard J. Hood 22'
  • yellowcard 89'
  • yellowcard S. O'Neill 89'
NIFL Premiership
Aug 9, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 4
Apr 19, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Mourneview Park
  • Peter Campbell 60' goal
  • Luke McGerrigan 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard James Hood 50'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 24
Dec 30, 2024 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT The Showgrounds
  • Kym Nelson 67' yellowcard
  • Donal Rocks 71' yellowcard
  • Sean Brown 84' redcard
  • Kym Nelson 90' redcard
  • Kym Nelson 90' redcard
  • yellowcard Barney McKeown 27'
  • goal Peter Campbell 55'
  • yellowcard Aaron Jarvis 64'
  • goal David McDaid 68'
  • yellowcard Andrew Scott 83'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 12
Oct 12, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Mourneview Park
  • Harry Lynch 52' yellowcard
  • James Carroll 62' yellowcard
  • Len O'Sullivan 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Donal Rocks 11'
  • yellowcard Danny Lafferty 16'
  • goal Ben Kennedy 62'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 5
Aug 30, 2024 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT The Showgrounds
  • Ben Kennedy 14' goal
  • Ben Kennedy 21' goal
  • Donal Rocks 30' yellowcard
  • Len O'Sullivan 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Ben Kennedy 49' goal
  • Samuel Johnston 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Keith Ward 33'
  • yellowcard David McDaid 36'
  • yellowcard Danny Lafferty 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Matthew Snoddy 58'