NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 24
Jan 3, 2026 at 3pm UK
 

BallymenaBallymena United
vs.
GlenavonGlenavon

Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Glenavon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ballymena United

All competitions
Last Game: Bangor 2-0 Ballymena
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Glenavon

All competitions
Last Game: Glenavon 0-1 Dungannon
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ballymena United win with a probability of 55.18%. A draw has a probability of 23.85% and a win for Glenavon has a probability of 20.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.34%) , while for a Glenavon win it is 0-1 (6.61%).

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawGlenavon
55.18% (-0.052 -0.05)23.85% (0.076000000000001 0.08)20.97% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.56% (-0.264 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.99% (-0.337 -0.34)50.01% (0.335 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.01% (-0.3 -0.3)71.99% (0.298 0.3)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.01% (-0.143 -0.14)17.99% (0.141 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.15% (-0.246 -0.25)48.85% (0.245 0.24)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.64% (-0.215 -0.21)38.35% (0.216 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.89% (-0.207 -0.21)75.11% (0.206 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 55.17%
    Glenavon 20.97%
    Draw 23.85%
Ballymena UnitedDrawGlenavon
1-0 @ 11.83% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 10.15% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.8% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 5.56% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.67% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.49% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.39% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 55.17%
1-1 @ 11.34% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.9% (0.093 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 23.85%
0-1 @ 6.61% (0.051 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.44% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.74% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.01% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 20.97%

Head to Head
Nov 29, 2025 3pm
Glenavon
3-1
Ballymena
Malone (12'), McDaid (89' pen.), Campbell (90+3')
(64'), Clarke (64'), (86')
Edogun (5')
(22'), Hood (22'), (89'), O'Neill (89')
Aug 9, 2025 3pm
Glenavon
0-2
Ballymena
Apr 19, 2025 3pm
gameweek 4
Glenavon
2-0
Ballymena
Campbell (60'), McGerrigan (90+3')

Hood (50')
Dec 30, 2024 7.45pm
gameweek 24
Ballymena
0-2
Glenavon

Nelson (67'), Rocks (71')
Brown (84'), Nelson (90'), Nelson (90')
Campbell (55'), McDaid (68')
McKeown (27'), Jarvis (64'), Scott (83')
Oct 12, 2024 3pm
gameweek 12
Glenavon
0-1
Ballymena

Lynch (52'), Carroll (62'), O'Sullivan (73')
Kennedy (62' pen.)
Rocks (11'), Lafferty (16')