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Australian A-League | Gameweek 11
Jan 3, 2026 at 8.35am UK
 
Sydney FC

vs.

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Sydney FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle Jets 2-0 Sydney FC
Saturday, December 20 at 6am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne City win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for Sydney FC has a probability of 30.42% and a draw has a probability of 23.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Sydney FC win is 1-2 (7.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.58%).

Result
Melbourne CityDrawSydney FC
46.24% (0.036999999999999 0.04)23.33% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)30.42% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 61.73% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.39% (0.033000000000001 0.03)39.6% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.04% (0.034999999999997 0.03)61.95% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.55% (0.027000000000001 0.03)17.45% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.08% (0.048000000000002 0.05)47.91% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)25.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.04% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)59.95% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 46.24%
    Sydney FC 30.42%
    Draw 23.33%
Melbourne CityDrawSydney FC
2-1 @ 9.24% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 7.68% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 6.71% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 5.38% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.9% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 3.7% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.35% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.62% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 46.24%
1-1 @ 10.58% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.36% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.4% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.7% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.33%
1-2 @ 7.29% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 6.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.18% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.92% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 30.42%

Head to Head
May 3, 2025 8am
gameweek 29
Melbourne City
5-1
Sydney FC
Behich (5'), Caputo (26'), Tilio (34'), Kuen (57'), Memeti (90+5')
Klimala (66')
Popovic (36'), Ouahim (54'), Klimala (55'), Grant (70')
Mar 29, 2025 6am
gameweek 24
Sydney FC
2-3
Melbourne City
Courtney-Perkins (28', 28'), Costa (39', 39')
Courtney-Perkins (19'), Courtney-Perkins (19')
Memeti (5', 5'), Caputo (35', 35'), Lopane (61', 61')
Behich (45+5'), Behich (45+5'), Atkinson (59'), Atkinson (59'), Beach (79'), Beach (79'), Wong (90+5'), Wong (90+5')
Feb 24, 2024 6.40am
gameweek 18
Sydney FC
1-1
Melbourne City
Courtney-Perkins (29')
Brattan (43'), Burgess (84'), Redmayne (87')
Tilio (61')
Lopane (76')
Nov 3, 2023 8.45am
gameweek 3
Melbourne City
2-0
Sydney FC
Ugarkovic (45'), MacLaren (46')
Talbot (30'), Good (56')

King (26'), Wood (38')
May 19, 2023 10.45am