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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 7
Jan 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Tynecastle
St Mirren logo

Hearts
1 - 0
St Mirren

McKay (29')
Smith (24'), Snodgrass (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Baccus (23'), Main (45'), Gallagher (54'), Reid (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and St Mirren, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Mirren 1-1 Hearts
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 1-1 Hearts
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hearts 2-1 St Mirren

In a match with consequences at the top end of the Scottish Premiership table, we expect a closely fought encounter that will produce plenty of opportunities for both sides. On this occasion, Hearts will do enough to prevail and claim another precious three points in their hunt for third place. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 53.61%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 23.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawSt Mirren
53.61% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03) 22.82% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 23.56% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 57.3% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.28% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)42.72% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.88% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)65.12% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.09% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)15.91% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.85% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)45.15% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.14%31.86% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.7% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)68.3% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 53.61%
    St Mirren 23.56%
    Draw 22.82%
HeartsDrawSt Mirren
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 9.32% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.56% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 5.25% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 3.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.76% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 53.61%
1-1 @ 10.65%
2-2 @ 5.6%
0-0 @ 5.07% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.82%
1-2 @ 6.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 5.8% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.32% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.26% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 23.56%

How you voted: Hearts vs St Mirren

Hearts
82.9%
Draw
12.9%
St Mirren
4.3%
70
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Mar 12, 2022 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Hearts
4-2
St Mirren
Baningime (16'), Haring (29'), McEneff (67'), Simms (85')
Baningime (40')
Brophy (36'), Ronan (62')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
St Mirren
0-2
Hearts

Power (62'), Tait (67')
Ronan (22')
Simms (64'), Devlin (67')
Atkinson (27'), Devlin (62'), Haring (86'), Halkett (89')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Hearts
2-0
St Mirren
Mackay-Steven (61'), Kingsley (75')
Devlin (68'), Halliday (89')

Shaughnessy (16'), Flynn (62'), Alnwick (90+6')
Shaughnessy (90+5')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
St Mirren
1-2
Hearts
Shaughnessy (85')
Main (90+2')
Dennis (86')
Halliday (16'), Boyce (73')
Haring (28'), Baningime (36')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic000080265478
2RangersRangers000072234975
3Hearts101046341263
4Kilmarnock10104334952
5St Mirren00003843-543
6Dundee00004454-1041
Relegation Group
1Hibernian11004752-542
2Aberdeen11003649-1338
3Motherwell10014652-637
4St Johnstone10012549-2431
5Ross County10013258-2630
6Livingston11002459-3521
 
First Phase
1Celtic33246380265478
2RangersRangers33243672234975
3Hearts33195946341262
4Kilmarnock33131284334951
5St Mirren33127143843-543
6Dundee331011124454-1041
7Hibernian33912124451-739
8Motherwell33813124651-537
9Aberdeen33811143549-1435
10St Johnstone33710162446-2231
11Ross County3379173256-2430
12Livingston3339212259-3718


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