Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 48.23%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 25.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a St Mirren win it was 0-1 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | St Mirren |
| 48.23% ( | 25.98% ( | 25.78% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.6% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.02% ( | 53.98% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.58% ( | 75.42% ( |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.6% ( | 22.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.09% ( | 55.91% ( |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.92% | 36.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.14% ( | 72.86% |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | St Mirren |
| 1-0 @ 12.09% 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 2-0 @ 9.05% 3-1 @ 4.6% ( 3-0 @ 4.51% 3-2 @ 2.34% 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 4-0 @ 1.69% Other @ 3.01% Total : 48.23% | 1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 8.08% ( 2-2 @ 4.7% Other @ 0.88% Total : 25.98% | 0-1 @ 8.24% ( 1-2 @ 6.28% 0-2 @ 4.2% ( 1-3 @ 2.14% 2-3 @ 1.6% 0-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 1.91% Total : 25.78% |