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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 20
Jan 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
St Mirren logo

Kilmarnock
0 - 0
St Mirren

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and St Mirren, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-1 Aberdeen
Wednesday, December 28 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Livingston 1-1 St Mirren
Wednesday, December 28 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 48.23%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 25.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a St Mirren win it was 0-1 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
KilmarnockDrawSt Mirren
48.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)25.98% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)25.78% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 49.6% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.02% (0.0019999999999953 0)53.98% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.58% (0.0010000000000012 0)75.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.6% (0.0020000000000095 0)22.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)55.91% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.92%36.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.14% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)72.86%
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 48.23%
    St Mirren 25.78%
    Draw 25.98%
KilmarnockDrawSt Mirren
1-0 @ 12.09%
2-1 @ 9.22% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.05%
3-1 @ 4.6% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.51%
3-2 @ 2.34%
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.69%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 48.23%
1-1 @ 12.32%
0-0 @ 8.08% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.7%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 25.98%
0-1 @ 8.24% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 6.28%
0-2 @ 4.2% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 1.6%
0-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 25.78%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs St Mirren

Kilmarnock
57.9%
Draw
21.1%
St Mirren
21.1%
19
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
May 12, 2021 7.45pm
Kilmarnock
3-3
St Mirren
Lafferty (8', 62'), Kiltie (81')
Lafferty (34'), Power (61')
McGrath (63'), MacPherson (78'), Quaner (83')
Finlayson (38')
Apr 26, 2021 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Kilmarnock
3-3
St Mirren
St Mirren win 5-4 on penalties
Rossi (37'), Kiltie (44'), Millen (101' pen.)
Oakley (66'), Tshibola (90+3'), Dicker (108')
Durmus (25'), Shaughnessy (84'), McGrath (119' pen.)
McCarthy (82'), McAllister (101'), Alnwick (101')
Feb 6, 2021 3pm
Jan 2, 2021 3pm
Kilmarnock
1-1
St Mirren
Whitehall (12')
Mulumbu (23'), McGowan (89'), Rogers (90+1')
Rogers (90' og.)
McAllister (71'), Doyle-Hayes (90+3')