Scottish Premiership Gameweek 18
Dec 23, 2022 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Kevin van Veen 22' goal
  • Callum Slattery 60' goal
  • goal Paul McGinn 73' (OG)
  • goal Liam Polworth 75'

Motherwell vs Kilmarnock - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Nov 12, 2022 3.00pm
St Johnstone 1 - 1 Motherwell
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Kevin van Veen

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Dec 17, 2022 3.00pm
Hearts 3 - 1 Kilmarnock
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Danny Armstrong

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result

Motherwell 33.41% (-0.13)
Draw 26.86% (-0.04)
Kilmarnock 39.73% (+0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.02% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.92% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 54.08% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 24.49% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 75.5% (-0.09)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5 69.56% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 30.44% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 33.35% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 66.64% (+0.05)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 73.35% (+0.14)
Under 0.5 26.65% (-0.14)
Over 1.5 38.11% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 61.89% (-0.18)

Score analysis

Motherwell 33.41%
Draw 26.85%
Kilmarnock 39.72%
Motherwell
1-0 @ 9.65% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 7.59% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.74% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.01% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.28% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.99% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 33.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.75% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 8.11% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.02% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.85%
Kilmarnock
0-1 @ 10.72%
1-2 @ 8.44% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 7.09% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.72% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.13% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.21% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.23% (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.03% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 39.72%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 5
Aug 27, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Danny Armstrong 71' goal
  • Ash Taylor 76' goal
  • Danny Armstrong 83' yellowcard
  • Alan Power 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Kevin van Veen 14'
  • yellowcard Stephen O'Donnell 19'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 3
May 1, 2021 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Fir Park
  • Devante Cole 47' goal
  • Allan Campbell 77' yellowcard
  • Chris Long 78' yellowcard
  • Nathan McGinley 79' yellowcard
  • Stephen O'Donnell 85' goal
  • yellowcard Kirk Broadfoot 85'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 32
Mar 20, 2021 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Kyle Lafferty 1' goal
  • Aaron McGowan 45' yellowcard
  • Rory McKenzie 55' goal
  • Chris Burke 57' goal
  • Kyle Lafferty 58' yellowcard
  • Alan Power 72' yellowcard
  • Mitchell Pinnock 83' goal
  • goal Barry Maguire 8'
  • yellowcard Jordan Roberts 42'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 10
Feb 10, 2021 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Allan Campbell 71'
  • yellowcard Tony Watt 78'
  • yellowcard Stephen O'Donnell 81'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 21
Dec 30, 2020 6.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Mark O'Hara 52' redcard
  • Robbie Crawford 56' yellowcard
  • Allan Campbell 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aaron Tshibola 32'
  • goal Greg Kiltie 41'
  • goal Danny Whitehall 53'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 32
Mar 21, 2020 3.00pm
Fir Park