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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 18
Dec 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Fir Park Stadium
Kilmarnock logo

Motherwell
2 - 2
Kilmarnock

van Veen (22'), Slattery (60')
Penney (59'), Slattery (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
McGinn (73' og.), Polworth (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hearts 3-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Motherwell 1-0 Kilmarnock

In a match with permutations at the bottom end of the table, we expect a closely fought affair which could go right to the wire as both teams search for some momentum. On this occasion, Motherwell will just do enough to edge past Kilmarnock and move further away from the relegation playoff slot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
MotherwellDrawKilmarnock
33.41% (-0.124 -0.12) 26.86% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 39.73% (0.15499999999999 0.15)
Both teams to score 51.02% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.92% (0.095999999999997 0.1)54.08% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.49% (0.082000000000001 0.08)75.5% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.56% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)30.44% (0.032999999999998 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.35% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)66.64% (0.041000000000011 0.04)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.35% (0.131 0.13)26.65% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.11% (0.17299999999999 0.17)61.89% (-0.17299999999999 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 33.41%
    Kilmarnock 39.72%
    Draw 26.85%
MotherwellDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 9.65% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.59% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.74% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.01% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.28% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.99% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 33.41%
1-1 @ 12.75% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.11% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.85%
0-1 @ 10.72%
1-2 @ 8.44% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.09% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.72% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.13% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.21% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.23% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.03% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 39.72%

How you voted: Motherwell vs Kilmarnock

Motherwell
85.4%
Draw
4.9%
Kilmarnock
9.8%
41
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
May 1, 2021 3pm
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Kilmarnock
4-1
Motherwell
Lafferty (1'), McKenzie (55'), Burke (57'), Pinnock (83')
McGowan (45'), Lafferty (58'), Power (72')
Maguire (8')
Roberts (42')
Feb 10, 2021 6pm
Dec 30, 2020 6.15pm
Motherwell
0-2
Kilmarnock

Crawford (56'), Campbell (63')
O'Hara (52')
Kiltie (41'), Whitehall (53' pen.)
Tshibola (32')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic110082275581
2RangersRangers110074245078
3Hearts101046341263
4Kilmarnock10104334952
5St Mirren10013945-643
6Dundee10014556-1141
Relegation Group
1Hibernian11004752-542
2Aberdeen11003649-1338
3Motherwell10014652-637
4St Johnstone10012549-2431
5Ross County10013258-2630
6Livingston11002459-3521
 
First Phase
1Celtic33246380265478
2RangersRangers33243672234975
3Hearts33195946341262
4Kilmarnock33131284334951
5St Mirren33127143843-543
6Dundee331011124454-1041
7Hibernian33912124451-739
8Motherwell33813124651-537
9Aberdeen33811143549-1435
10St Johnstone33710162446-2231
11Ross County3379173256-2430
12Livingston3339212259-3718


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