Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 19

Dec 28, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Rugby Park

Kilmarnock
2 - 1
Aberdeen

Robinson (31'), Wright (42')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Kennedy (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Last Game: Motherwell 2-2 Kilmarnock
Friday, December 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Aberdeen

All competitions

Last Game: St Mirren 3-1 Aberdeen
Saturday, December 24 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
Kilmarnock	Draw	Aberdeen
42.15% ( -0.01)	25.54% ( 0.01)	32.31% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 54.95% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.12% (

-0.06)

48.88% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.03% (

-0.05)

70.97% (

0.05)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.94% (

-0.03)

23.06% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.11% (

-0.04)

56.88% (

0.04)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.42% (

-0.03)

28.58% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.63% (

-0.04)

64.37% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock 42.15%

Aberdeen 32.31%

Draw 25.53%

Kilmarnock	Draw	Aberdeen
1-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.09% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.11% Total : 42.15%	1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.53%	0-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.17% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.17% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 32.31%