Scottish Premiership Gameweek 19
Dec 28, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Scott Robinson 31' goal
  • Joe Wright 42' goal
  • goal Matty Kennedy 90'+1'

Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Dec 23, 2022 7.45pm
Motherwell 2 - 2 Kilmarnock
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Danny Armstrong

Aberdeen

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Dec 24, 2022 12.30pm
St Mirren 3 - 1 Aberdeen
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Luis Lopes

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result

Kilmarnock 42.15% (-0.01)
Draw 25.54% (+0.02)
Aberdeen 32.31% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.95% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.12% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 48.88% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 29.03% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 70.97% (+0.06)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 76.94% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 23.06% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 43.11% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 56.88% (+0.05)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5 71.42% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 28.58% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 35.63% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 64.37% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Kilmarnock 42.15%
Draw 25.53%
Aberdeen 32.31%
Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 9.67% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.09% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.35% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.47% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 42.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.1%
0-0 @ 6.59% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.53%
Aberdeen
0-1 @ 8.25% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.17% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.17% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.16% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 32.31%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2022 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 1
FT
  • Vicente Besuijen 22' goal
  • Bojan Miovski 24' goal
  • Bojan Miovski 45' goal
  • Anthony Stewart 63' goal
  • goal Ash Taylor 27'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 33
Feb 20, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Callum Hendry 21' goal
  • Niall McGinn 51' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Diaguely Dabo 40'
  • yellowcard Aaron McGowan 62'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 18
Dec 20, 2020 12.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Aaron Tshibola 76' yellowcard
  • Brandon Haunstrup 90'+5' redcard
  • goal Ryan Hedges 52'
  • goal Sam Cosgrove 90'+6'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 7
Sep 12, 2020 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ross McCrorie 16' goal
  • yellowcard Nicke Kabamba 50'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 29
Mar 4, 2020 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Rugby Park
  • Eamonn Brophy 17' goal
  • Greg Kiltie 23' goal
  • 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ash Taylor 17'
  • goal Niall McGinn 38'
  • goal Connor McLennan 50'
  • yellowcard Lewis Ferguson 64'
  • yellowcard Shaleum Logan 65'
  • yellowcard Connor McLennan 69'
  • yellowcard Matty Kennedy 80'
Scottish Cup
Feb 19, 2020 7.45pm
3
4
ET Rugby Park
  • Mohamed El Makrini 43' goal
  • Chris Burke 64' yellowcard
  • Eamonn Brophy 98' goal
  • Nicke Kabamba 116' goal
  • 119' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andrew Considine 81'
  • goal Andrew Considine 88'
  • goal Matty Kennedy 91'
  • goal Connor Johnson 120' (OG)
  • goal Sam Cosgrove 120'