Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 51.38%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 23.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a St Mirren win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Livingston | Draw | St Mirren |
| 51.38% ( | 24.76% ( | 23.86% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.39% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.29% ( | 50.7% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.39% ( | 72.6% ( |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.27% ( | 19.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.25% ( | 51.74% ( |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.02% ( | 35.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.24% ( | 72.75% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Livingston | Draw | St Mirren |
| 1-0 @ 11.51% ( 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 2-0 @ 9.35% ( 3-1 @ 5.17% ( 3-0 @ 5.06% ( 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 4-1 @ 2.1% ( 4-0 @ 2.05% ( 4-2 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.85% Total : 51.37% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0-0 @ 7.1% ( 2-2 @ 4.89% ( 3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.75% | 0-1 @ 7.26% ( 1-2 @ 6.02% ( 0-2 @ 3.71% ( 1-3 @ 2.05% ( 2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0-3 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 1.89% Total : 23.86% |