Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Livingston win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Livingston | Draw | Hearts |
34.16% ( 0.02) | 25.44% ( 0.03) | 40.4% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 55.83% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.01% ( -0.14) | 47.98% ( 0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.84% ( -0.13) | 70.15% ( 0.12) |
Livingston Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.01% ( -0.06) | 26.98% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.67% ( -0.07) | 62.32% ( 0.07) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.46% ( -0.09) | 23.53% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.42% ( -0.13) | 57.58% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Livingston | Draw | Hearts |
1-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.44% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.38% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 3.07% Total : 34.16% | 1-1 @ 12.03% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.71% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.65% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.2% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.16% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.04% Total : 40.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Motherwell | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
6 | St Mirren | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 21 |
7 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
8 | Hibernian | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 15 |
9 | Ross County | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 15 |
10 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
11 | Kilmarnock | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |