Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.03%) and 2-1 (7.88%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (11.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | Livingston |
| 40.46% ( | 29.24% ( | 30.3% ( |
| Both teams to score 43.31% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.7% ( | 63.3% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.32% ( | 82.68% ( |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.31% ( | 30.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.06% ( | 66.94% ( |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.49% ( | 37.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.71% ( | 74.29% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | Livingston |
| 1-0 @ 13.59% ( 2-0 @ 8.03% ( 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 3-0 @ 3.16% ( 3-1 @ 3.1% ( 3-2 @ 1.52% ( 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 4-1 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.32% Total : 40.45% | 1-1 @ 13.33% 0-0 @ 11.51% ( 2-2 @ 3.86% ( Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.24% | 0-1 @ 11.28% 1-2 @ 6.54% ( 0-2 @ 5.53% ( 1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0-3 @ 1.81% ( 2-3 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 1.73% Total : 30.29% |