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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 20
Jan 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Almondvale Stadium
Motherwell logo

Livingston
1 - 1
Motherwell

Boyes (39')
FT(HT: 1-1)
van Veen (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Scottish Premiership clash between Livingston and Motherwell, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Livingston 1-1 St Mirren
Wednesday, December 28 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Rangers 3-0 Motherwell
Wednesday, December 28 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 47.34%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
LivingstonDrawMotherwell
47.34% (0.038000000000004 0.04)25.81% (0.0019999999999989 0)26.85% (-0.038 -0.04)
Both teams to score 50.98% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.4% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)52.6% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.74% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)74.25% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.78% (0.0040000000000049 0)22.22% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)55.64% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.54% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)34.46% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.83% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)71.17% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Livingston 47.34%
    Motherwell 26.85%
    Draw 25.8%
LivingstonDrawMotherwell
1-0 @ 11.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.23% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.66% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.63% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.34% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.63% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 47.34%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 7.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 25.8%
0-1 @ 8.16%
1-2 @ 6.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.32% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 26.85%

How you voted: Livingston vs Motherwell

Livingston
33.3%
Draw
50.0%
Motherwell
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Livingston
2-2
Motherwell
Bailey (26'), Forrest (58')
Kelly (80')
Slattery (72'), Lamie (90+3')
Slattery (61'), Johansen (90+2')
Dec 26, 2021 3pm
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Motherwell
3-1
Livingston
Cole (31' pen., 59'), Long (69')
O'Donnell (63'), Long (78')
Fitzwater (60')
Bartley (47'), Guthrie (58'), Sibbald (70'), Devlin (78')