Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 21

Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK

Pittodrie Stadium

Aberdeen
2 - 0
St Johnstone

Lopes (74', 84')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Aberdeen and St Johnstone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberdeen

All competitions

Last Game: Aberdeen 0-0 Ross County
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

St Johnstone

All competitions

Last Game: St Johnstone 0-1 Dundee Utd
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 59.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 18.24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.

Result
Aberdeen	Draw	St Johnstone
59.7% ( -0.04)	22.07% ( 0.01)	18.24% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 51.65% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.71% (

0.03)

46.29% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.42% (

0.03)

68.58% (

-0.03)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.89% (

-0)

15.11% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.33% (

-0)

43.66% (

0.01)

St Johnstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.84% (

0.06)

39.16% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.13% (

0.05)

75.87% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Aberdeen 59.69%

St Johnstone 18.24%

Draw 22.06%

Aberdeen	Draw	St Johnstone
1-0 @ 11.18% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.56% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.24% 4-0 @ 3.15% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.95% 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.44% Total : 59.69%	1-1 @ 10.48% 0-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.06%	0-1 @ 5.55% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.6% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0) Other @ 2.19% Total : 18.24%