Hibs logo
Scottish Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 22, 2023 at 2pm UK
Easter Road Stadium
Hearts logo

Hibernian
0 - 3
Hearts

FT(HT: 0-1)
Ginnelly (10'), Shankland (72'), Sibbick (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Cup clash between Hibernian and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hibernian

All competitions
Last Game: Hibernian 2-2 Dundee Utd
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Hearts

All competitions
Last Game: Hearts 5-0 Aberdeen
Wednesday, January 18 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 44.4%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Hearts win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
HibernianDrawHearts
44.4% (-0.13999999999999 -0.14)24.23% (0.052 0.05)31.37% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 59.03% (-0.144 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.62% (-0.207 -0.21)43.38% (0.205 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.22% (-0.204 -0.2)65.77% (0.202 0.2)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.29% (-0.14200000000001 -0.14)19.71% (0.141 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.28% (-0.233 -0.23)51.72% (0.231 0.23)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.52% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)26.48% (0.047999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.34% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)61.66% (0.061 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Hibernian 44.4%
    Hearts 31.37%
    Draw 24.23%
HibernianDrawHearts
2-1 @ 9.15% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.48% (0.039 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.88% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.95% (-0.029000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.73% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.01% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 44.4%
1-1 @ 11.26% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.08% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.22% (0.047 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.23%
1-2 @ 7.48% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.93% (0.053 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.61% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 31.37%

How you voted: Hibernian vs Hearts

Hibernian
31.8%
Draw
9.1%
Hearts
59.1%
22
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Hearts
3-0
Hibernian
Shankland (8', 38'), Humphrys (90+4')

Cadden (11')
Aug 7, 2022 12pm
Hibernian
1-1
Hearts
Boyle (90+5')
Porteous (35'), Cabraja (64'), Henderson (90+1')
Shankland (22')
Haring (85')
Apr 16, 2022 12.15pm
Semi-Finals
Hearts
2-1
Hibernian
Simms (16'), Kingsley (21')
Cochrane (70'), Haring (82'), Moore (84'), Gordon (90+3')
Cadden (22')
Newell (11'), Clarke (25'), Scott (48'), Campbell (82'), Hanlon (82')
Newell (64')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Hearts
3-1
Hibernian
Halliday (45+1', 58'), Kingsley (47')
Haring (70')
Wright (5')
Doyle-Hayes (45+2'), Mueller (57'), Bushiri (71')
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Hibernian
0-0
Hearts

Stevenson (11'), Newell (58')

Moore (12'), Halliday (17'), Devlin (45+1'), Woodburn (90+1')