/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fhiblog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fhealog.png)
-
Josh Ginnelly
10'
-
Lawrence Shankland
72'
-
Toby Sibbick
90'+6'
Hibernian vs Hearts - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F16%2Felias-melkersen-toby-sibbick.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 44.4%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Hearts win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
Result
Hibernian
44.4%
▼
(-0.14)
Draw
24.23%
▲
(+0.06)
Hearts
31.37%
▲
(+0.09)
Both Teams to Score:
59.03%
▼
(-0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5
56.62%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 2.5
43.38%
▲
(+0.21)
Over 3.5
34.22%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 3.5
65.77%
▲
(+0.21)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5
80.29%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 0.5
19.71%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 1.5
48.28%
▼
(-0.24)
Under 1.5
51.72%
▲
(+0.24)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5
73.52%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 0.5
26.48%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 1.5
38.34%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 1.5
61.66%
▲
(+0.07)
Score analysis
Hibernian
44.4%
Draw
24.23%
Hearts
31.37%
Hibernian
2-1
@
9.15%
▼
(-0.02)
1-0 @ 8.48% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 6.88% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.95% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.73% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 44.4%
1-0 @ 8.48% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 6.88% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.95% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.73% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 44.4%
Draw
1-1
@
11.26%
▲
(+0.04)
2-2 @ 6.08% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.22% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.23%
2-2 @ 6.08% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.22% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.23%
Hearts
1-2
@
7.48%
▲
(+0.02)
0-1 @ 6.93% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 4.61% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.32% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 31.37%
0-1 @ 6.93% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 4.61% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.32% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 31.37%
Head to Head
-
Ellis Simms
16'
-
Stephen Kingsley
21'
-
Alex Cochrane
70'
-
Peter Haring
82'
-
Taylor Moore
84'
-
Craig Gordon
90'+3'
-
Joe Newell
11'
-
Chris Cadden
22'
-
Harry Clarke
25'
-
James Scott
48'
-
Joe Newell
64'
-
Josh Campbell
82'
-
Paul Hanlon
82'