Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 21

Jan 8, 2023 at 1.30pm UK

Fir Park Stadium

Motherwell
2 - 3
Hibernian

McKinstry (59'), Tierney (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Nisbet (16', 52', 74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Hibernian, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Livingston 1-1 Motherwell
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hibernian

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Hearts 3-0 Hibernian
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.

Result
Motherwell	Draw	Hibernian
34.96% ( 0.59)	26.51% ( 0.01)	38.53% ( -0.6)

Both teams to score 52.41% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.56% (

0.03)

52.44% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.88% (

0.03)

74.12% (

-0.03)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.36% (

0.38)

28.64% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.55% (

0.48)

64.45% (

-0.47)

Hibernian Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.45% (

-0.31)

26.55% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.23% (

-0.42)

61.77% (

0.42)

Score Analysis

Motherwell 34.96%

Hibernian 38.52%

Draw 26.5%

Motherwell	Draw	Hibernian
1-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.66% Total : 34.96%	1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.5%	0-1 @ 10.08% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.23% Total : 38.52%