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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 24
Feb 1, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Rugby Park
Dundee United

Kilmarnock
1 - 0
Dundee Utd

Armstrong (35')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Dundee United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 52.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Dundee United had a probability of 22.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Dundee United win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kilmarnock in this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawDundee United
52.86% (0.054000000000002 0.05)24.69% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)22.45% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Both teams to score 49.98% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.24% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)51.76% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.47% (-0.012 -0.01)73.53% (0.012 0.01)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.45% (0.015999999999991 0.02)19.54% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.55% (0.025999999999996 0.03)51.45% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Dundee United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.12% (-0.052 -0.05)37.88% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.35% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)74.65% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 52.86%
    Dundee United 22.45%
    Draw 24.69%
KilmarnockDrawDundee United
1-0 @ 12.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.86% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 5.37% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.19% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.13% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 52.86%
1-1 @ 11.73%
0-0 @ 7.4% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 24.69%
0-1 @ 7.19% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.7% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.49% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.84% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.13% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 22.45%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd

Kilmarnock
54.2%
Draw
29.2%
Dundee United
16.7%
24
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 18, 2022 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Kilmarnock
2-1
Dundee Utd
Lafferty (8' pen.), Armstrong (73')
Middleton (10')
Smith (7')
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Kilmarnock
1-1
Dundee Utd
Taylor (90+1')
Power (47'), Taylor (83')
Levitt (43')
Harkes (49')
Harkes (71')
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Fourth Round
Kilmarnock
1-2
Dundee Utd
McKenzie (20')
McKenzie (108')
McNulty (4'), Levitt (111')
Levitt (90+3'), Butcher (98'), Watt (104')
Apr 21, 2021 7.45pm
Kilmarnock
3-0
Dundee Utd
Lafferty (32', 35', 43' pen.)
Lafferty (16')

Hoti (57'), Sporle (77')
rhs 2.0


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