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Ross County
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Kilmarnock logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 24
Feb 1, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Rugby Park
Dundee United

Kilmarnock
1 - 0
Dundee Utd

Armstrong (35')
Armstrong (23')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Middleton (45+1'), Sibbald (90+2'), Graham (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Dundee United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ross County 3-0 Kilmarnock
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Kilmarnock 1-1 Dundee United

Both teams will see Wednesday as a hugely important game in their respective bids to avoid the drop, and given the stakes we anticipate a cagey encounter and cannot quite pick a winner, instead opting for a share of the spoils after a hard-fought encounter at Rugby Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 52.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Dundee United had a probability of 22.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Dundee United win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kilmarnock in this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawDundee United
52.86% (0.054000000000002 0.05) 24.69% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 22.45% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Both teams to score 49.98% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.24% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)51.76% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.47% (-0.012 -0.01)73.53% (0.012 0.01)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.45% (0.015999999999991 0.02)19.54% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.55% (0.025999999999996 0.03)51.45% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Dundee United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.12% (-0.052 -0.05)37.88% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.35% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)74.65% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 52.86%
    Dundee United 22.45%
    Draw 24.69%
KilmarnockDrawDundee United
1-0 @ 12.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.86% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 5.37% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.19% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.13% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 52.86%
1-1 @ 11.73%
0-0 @ 7.4% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 24.69%
0-1 @ 7.19% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.7% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.49% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.84% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.13% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 22.45%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd

Kilmarnock
54.2%
Draw
29.2%
Dundee United
16.7%
24
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 18, 2022 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Kilmarnock
2-1
Dundee Utd
Lafferty (8' pen.), Armstrong (73')
Middleton (10')
Smith (7')
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Kilmarnock
1-1
Dundee Utd
Taylor (90+1')
Power (47'), Taylor (83')
Levitt (43')
Harkes (49')
Harkes (71')
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Fourth Round
Kilmarnock
1-2
Dundee Utd
McKenzie (20')
McKenzie (108')
McNulty (4'), Levitt (111')
Levitt (90+3'), Butcher (98'), Watt (104')
Apr 21, 2021 7.45pm
Kilmarnock
3-0
Dundee Utd
Lafferty (32', 35', 43' pen.)
Lafferty (16')

Hoti (57'), Sporle (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic110082275581
2RangersRangers110074245078
3Hearts101046341263
4Kilmarnock10104334952
5St Mirren10013945-643
6Dundee10014556-1141
Relegation Group
1Hibernian11004752-542
2Aberdeen11003649-1338
3Motherwell10014652-637
4St Johnstone10012549-2431
5Ross County10013258-2630
6Livingston11002459-3521
 
First Phase
1Celtic33246380265478
2RangersRangers33243672234975
3Hearts33195946341262
4Kilmarnock33131284334951
5St Mirren33127143843-543
6Dundee331011124454-1041
7Hibernian33912124451-739
8Motherwell33813124651-537
9Aberdeen33811143549-1435
10St Johnstone33710162446-2231
11Ross County3379173256-2430
12Livingston3339212259-3718


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