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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 22
Jan 18, 2023 at 8pm UK
Rugby Park
Rangers logo

Kilmarnock
2 - 3
Rangers

Stokes (6'), Wright (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Morelos (23', 72'), Kent (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celtic 2-0 Kilmarnock
Saturday, January 14 at 5.30pm in Scottish League Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 63.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 15.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.09%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 1-0 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawRangers
15.82% (0.0039999999999996 0)20.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)63.43% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.29% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)44.71% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.93% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)67.07% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.84% (0.0020000000000024 0)41.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.3% (0.0019999999999989 0)77.69% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)13.43% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.6% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)40.4% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 15.82%
    Rangers 63.42%
    Draw 20.74%
KilmarnockDrawRangers
1-0 @ 4.91% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-1 @ 4.37% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 2.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.3%
3-1 @ 1.29%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 15.82%
1-1 @ 9.85% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-0 @ 5.53% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.39%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 20.74%
0-2 @ 11.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 11.09%
1-2 @ 9.89%
0-3 @ 7.45% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 6.62% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-4 @ 3.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 3.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.94%
0-5 @ 1.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.47% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-5 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 63.42%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Rangers

Kilmarnock
28.2%
Draw
7.7%
Rangers
64.1%
39
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Rangers
2-0
Kilmarnock
Colak (51'), Morelos (88')

Taylor (14'), Donnelly (38'), McKenzie (49'), Armstrong (82'), Murray (85'), Cameron (86')
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Nov 1, 2020 12pm
Kilmarnock
0-1
Rangers

Waters (23'), Tshibola (41'), Power (90')
Tavernier (19' pen.)
Barisic (44'), Goldson (70'), Davis (83')
Aug 22, 2020 3pm
Feb 12, 2020 7.45pm
Kilmarnock
2-1
Rangers
O'Donnell (77'), Brophy (88')
Dicker (16'), Power (44'), Kabamba (87')
Arfield (32')
Kent (44'), Morelos (57'), McGregor (90')