Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 63.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 15.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.09%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 1-0 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Rangers |
| 15.82% ( | 20.74% ( | 63.43% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.29% ( | 44.71% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.93% ( | 67.07% ( |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.84% ( | 41.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.3% ( | 77.69% ( |
| Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.57% ( | 13.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.6% ( | 40.4% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 4.91% ( 2-1 @ 4.37% ( 2-0 @ 2.18% ( 3-2 @ 1.3% 3-1 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.77% Total : 15.82% | 1-1 @ 9.85% ( 0-0 @ 5.53% ( 2-2 @ 4.39% Other @ 0.97% Total : 20.74% | 0-2 @ 11.13% ( 0-1 @ 11.09% 1-2 @ 9.89% 0-3 @ 7.45% ( 1-3 @ 6.62% ( 0-4 @ 3.74% ( 1-4 @ 3.32% ( 2-3 @ 2.94% 0-5 @ 1.5% ( 2-4 @ 1.47% ( 1-5 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.92% Total : 63.42% |