Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 88.76%. A draw had a probability of 8.2% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 3.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.74%) and 4-0 (10.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.9%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (1.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celtic | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 88.76% ( | 8.21% ( | 3.03% ( |
| Both teams to score 37.23% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.42% ( | 28.58% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.54% ( | 49.46% ( |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.95% ( | 4.05% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 82.97% ( | 17.03% ( |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 38.8% ( | 61.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 8.75% ( | 91.25% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Celtic | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 3-0 @ 13.61% ( 2-0 @ 12.74% ( 4-0 @ 10.91% ( 1-0 @ 7.95% ( 5-0 @ 7% ( 3-1 @ 6.69% ( 2-1 @ 6.26% ( 4-1 @ 5.36% ( 6-0 @ 3.74% ( 5-1 @ 3.44% ( 6-1 @ 1.84% 7-0 @ 1.71% ( 3-2 @ 1.64% ( 4-2 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 4.54% Total : 88.74% | 1-1 @ 3.9% ( 0-0 @ 2.48% ( 2-2 @ 1.54% ( Other @ 0.3% Total : 8.21% | 0-1 @ 1.22% ( 1-2 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 0.86% Total : 3.03% |