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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 21
Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Celtic Park
Kilmarnock logo

Celtic
2 - 0
Kilmarnock

Jota (45'), Taylor (51' og.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Celtic and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rangers 2-2 Celtic
Monday, January 2 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 0-0 St Mirren
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 88.76%. A draw had a probability of 8.2% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 3.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.74%) and 4-0 (10.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.9%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (1.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result
CelticDrawKilmarnock
88.76% (-1.224 -1.22)8.21% (0.7181 0.72)3.03% (0.5099 0.51)
Both teams to score 37.23% (2.734 2.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.42% (-0.258 -0.26)28.58% (0.263 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.54% (-0.321 -0.32)49.46% (0.325 0.33)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.95% (-0.241 -0.24)4.05% (0.245 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.97% (-0.79100000000001 -0.79)17.03% (0.795 0.79)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
38.8% (2.941 2.94)61.2% (-2.937 -2.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.75% (1.376 1.38)91.25% (-1.371 -1.37)
Score Analysis
    Celtic 88.74%
    Kilmarnock 3.03%
    Draw 8.21%
CelticDrawKilmarnock
3-0 @ 13.61% (-0.59 -0.59)
2-0 @ 12.74% (-0.29 -0.29)
4-0 @ 10.91% (-0.7 -0.7)
1-0 @ 7.95% (-0.029 -0.03)
5-0 @ 7% (-0.589 -0.59)
3-1 @ 6.69% (0.377 0.38)
2-1 @ 6.26% (0.466 0.47)
4-1 @ 5.36% (0.204 0.2)
6-0 @ 3.74% (-0.394 -0.39)
5-1 @ 3.44% (0.066 0.07)
6-1 @ 1.84%
7-0 @ 1.71% (-0.218 -0.22)
3-2 @ 1.64% (0.241 0.24)
4-2 @ 1.32% (0.171 0.17)
Other @ 4.54%
Total : 88.74%
1-1 @ 3.9% (0.36 0.36)
0-0 @ 2.48% (0.038 0.04)
2-2 @ 1.54% (0.25 0.25)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 8.21%
0-1 @ 1.22% (0.133 0.13)
1-2 @ 0.96% (0.171 0.17)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 3.03%

How you voted: Celtic vs Kilmarnock

Celtic
82.1%
Draw
3.6%
Kilmarnock
14.3%
28
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2022 12pm
Kilmarnock
0-5
Celtic

McKenzie (21'), Donnelly (42'), Lafferty (60'), Armstrong (78')
Furuhashi (7'), Jota (35'), Jenz (45+1'), Starfelt (76'), Giakoumakis (82')
Maeda (61'), McGregor (85')
Feb 2, 2021 7.45pm
Kilmarnock
0-4
Celtic

Tshibola (36')
Brown (29'), Edouard (52' pen., 62'), Ajeti (86')
Dec 13, 2020 3pm
Aug 9, 2020 4.30pm
Kilmarnock
1-1
Celtic
Burke (24' pen.)
Dicker (10'), Power (35')
Christie (11')
Brown (72')
Feb 23, 2020 3pm
Celtic
3-1
Kilmarnock
Ajer (28'), Edouard (33'), Griffiths (62')
McGregor (67')
Brophy (6' pen.)
El Makrini (21'), Power (45')
Power (57')
rhs 2.0


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