Scottish Premiership Gameweek 21
Jan 7, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jota 45' goal
  • Ash Taylor 51' goal

Celtic vs Kilmarnock - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Celtic

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Jan 2, 2023 12.30pm
Rangers 2 - 2 Celtic
Goals scored
114
Top scorer
Kyogo Furuhashi

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Jan 2, 2023 3.00pm
Kilmarnock 0 - 0 St Mirren
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Danny Armstrong

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 88.76%. A draw had a probability of 8.2% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 3.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.74%) and 4-0 (10.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.9%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (1.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result

Celtic 88.76% (-1.23)
Draw 8.21% (+0.72)
Kilmarnock 3.03% (+0.51)

Both Teams to Score: 

37.23% (+2.74)

Goals

Over 2.5 71.42% (-0.26)
Under 2.5 28.58% (+0.27)
Over 3.5 50.54% (-0.33)
Under 3.5 49.46% (+0.33)

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5 95.95% (-0.25)
Under 0.5 4.05% (+0.25)
Over 1.5 82.97% (-0.80)
Under 1.5 17.03% (+0.80)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 38.8% (+2.95)
Under 0.5 61.2% (-2.94)
Over 1.5 8.75% (+1.38)
Under 1.5 91.25% (-1.38)

Score analysis

Celtic 88.74%
Draw 8.21%
Kilmarnock 3.03%
Celtic
3-0 @ 13.61% (-0.59)
2-0 @ 12.74% (-0.29)
4-0 @ 10.91% (-0.70)
1-0 @ 7.95% (-0.03)
5-0 @ 7% (-0.59)
3-1 @ 6.69% (+0.38)
2-1 @ 6.26% (+0.47)
4-1 @ 5.36% (+0.21)
6-0 @ 3.74% (-0.40)
5-1 @ 3.44% (+0.07)
6-1 @ 1.84%
7-0 @ 1.71% (-0.22)
3-2 @ 1.64% (+0.25)
4-2 @ 1.32% (+0.18)
Other @ 4.54%
Total : 88.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 3.9% (+0.37)
0-0 @ 2.48% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 1.54% (+0.25)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 8.21%
Kilmarnock
0-1 @ 1.22% (+0.14)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 3.03%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 3
Aug 14, 2022 12.00pm
0
5
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Rory McKenzie 21' yellowcard
  • Liam Donnelly 42' yellowcard
  • Kyle Lafferty 60' yellowcard
  • Danny Armstrong 78' yellowcard
  • goal Kyogo Furuhashi 7'
  • goal Jota 35'
  • goal Moritz Jenz 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Daizen Maeda 61'
  • goal Carl Starfelt 76'
  • goal Giorgos Giakoumakis 82'
  • yellowcard Callum McGregor 85'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 27
Feb 2, 2021 7.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Aaron Tshibola 36' yellowcard
  • goal Scott Brown 29'
  • goal Odsonne Edouard 52'
  • goal Odsonne Edouard 62'
  • goal Albian Ajeti 86'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 17
Dec 13, 2020 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mohamed Elyounoussi 57' goal
  • Shane Duffy 70' goal
  • yellowcard Alan Power 36'
  • yellowcard Nicke Kabamba 43'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 2
Aug 9, 2020 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Rugby Park
  • Gary Dicker 10' yellowcard
  • Chris Burke 24' goal
  • Alan Power 35' yellowcard
  • goal Ryan Christie 11'
  • yellowcard Scott Brown 72'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 28
Feb 23, 2020 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Celtic Park
  • Kristoffer Ajer 28' goal
  • Odsonne Edouard 33' goal
  • Leigh Griffiths 62' goal
  • Callum McGregor 67' yellowcard
  • goal Eamonn Brophy 6'
  • yellowcard Mohamed El Makrini 21'
  • yellowcard Alan Power 45'
  • redcard Alan Power 57'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 22
Jan 22, 2020 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Rugby Park (Kilmarnock)
  • Gary Dicker 60' yellowcard
  • Nicke Kabamba 66' goal
  • goal Odsonne Edouard 25'
  • goal Leigh Griffiths 51'
  • yellowcard Olivier Ntcham 57'
  • goal Christopher Jullien 73'
  • yellowcard Moritz Bauer 95'