Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 1-0 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Kilmarnock in this match.