Scottish Premiership Gameweek 25
Feb 4, 2023 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Jon Nouble 10' goal
  • Bruce Anderson 12' goal
  • Stephen Kelly 29' goal
  • goal Christian Doidge 47'

Livingston vs Kilmarnock - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Livingston

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Feb 1, 2023 7.45pm
Celtic 3 - 0 Livingston
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Jon Nouble

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Feb 1, 2023 7.45pm
Kilmarnock 1 - 0 Dundee Utd
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Danny Armstrong

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 48.84%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 25.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.

Result

Livingston 48.84% (-0.02)
Draw 26.01% (+0.01)
Kilmarnock 25.15% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.96% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.45% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 54.55% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 24.1% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 75.9% (+0.02)

Livingston Goals

Over 0.5 77.64% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 22.36% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 44.14% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 55.86% (+0.03)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 63.06% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 36.94%
Over 1.5 26.27% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 73.73% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Livingston 48.83%
Draw 26.01%
Kilmarnock 25.15%
Livingston
1-0 @ 12.37%
2-0 @ 9.27% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.63% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.61% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.29% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.73% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.73% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 48.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.32% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.26% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 26.01%
Kilmarnock
0-1 @ 8.23% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.14% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.1% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.04% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.53%
0-3 @ 1.36% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 25.15%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 14
Nov 4, 2022 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Joe Wright 4' goal
  • Joe Wright 45'+2' goal
  • goal Bruce Anderson 39'
  • goal Sean Kelly 61'
  • goal Chris Stokes 75' (OG)
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 8
Sep 17, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Cristian Montano 25' goal
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 26
Jan 27, 2021 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Marvin Bartley 40' yellowcard
  • Nicky Devlin 86' yellowcard
  • Jaze Kabia 89' goal
  • Scott Pittman 90' goal
  • yellowcard Alan Power 19'
  • yellowcard Brandon Haunstrup 69'
  • yellowcard Rory McKenzie 84'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 20
Dec 26, 2020 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Nicke Kabamba 8' yellowcard
  • Chris Burke 48' goal
  • Chris Burke 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicky Devlin 47'
  • goal Jay Emmanuel-Thomas 51'
  • yellowcard Julien Serrano 57'
  • goal Scott Robinson 90'+3'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 11
Oct 17, 2020 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Scott Pittman 11' goal
  • Scott Tiffoney 27' yellowcard
  • Marvin Bartley 66' yellowcard
  • Jon Guthrie 84' yellowcard
  • Efe Ambrose 90' yellowcard
  • goal Aaron Tshibola 24'
  • goal Chris Burke 37'
  • goal Greg Kiltie 57'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 33
Apr 4, 2020 3.00pm
Rugby Park