Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 48.84%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 25.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Livingston | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 48.84% ( | 26.01% ( | 25.15% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.96% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.45% ( | 54.55% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.1% ( | 75.9% ( |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.64% ( | 22.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.14% ( | 55.86% ( |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.06% ( | 36.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.27% ( | 73.73% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Livingston | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 12.37% 2-0 @ 9.27% ( 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 3-0 @ 4.63% ( 3-1 @ 4.61% ( 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 4-0 @ 1.73% ( 4-1 @ 1.73% ( Other @ 2.99% Total : 48.83% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0-0 @ 8.26% ( 2-2 @ 4.59% ( Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.01% | 0-1 @ 8.23% ( 1-2 @ 6.14% ( 0-2 @ 4.1% ( 1-3 @ 2.04% ( 2-3 @ 1.53% 0-3 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 1.77% Total : 25.15% |