Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 28
Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Tynecastle
Hearts3 - 0St Johnstone
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Motherwell 2-0 Hearts
Sunday, February 19 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership
Sunday, February 19 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Johnstone 1-1 St Mirren
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
We said: Hearts 3-1 St Johnstone
After a fortnight stewing over an uncharacteristically blunt display against Motherwell, we are backing Hearts to return to league action with a burning vengeance, taking out their frustrations on a St Johnstone side which could cause them problems, but not enough to avoid defeat. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 56.13%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 21.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 1-2 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | St Johnstone |
56.13% ( 0.67) | 22% ( -0.27) | 21.88% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 57.91% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
