Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 50.7%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 24.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-2 (8.89%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Motherwell | Draw | Hearts |
24.84% ( -0.49) | 24.47% ( -0.05) | 50.7% ( 0.54) |
Both teams to score 53.34% ( -0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.36% ( -0.21) | 48.64% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.25% ( -0.19) | 70.76% ( 0.19) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.01% ( -0.53) | 33.99% ( 0.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.33% ( -0.57) | 70.67% ( 0.58) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.8% ( 0.13) | 19.2% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.12% ( 0.22) | 50.88% ( -0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Motherwell | Draw | Hearts |
1-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.25% Total : 24.84% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.47% | 0-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 9.59% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.89% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 5.28% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 4.89% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 3.07% Total : 50.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Motherwell | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
6 | St Mirren | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 21 |
7 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 17 |
9 | Hibernian | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 15 |
10 | Ross County | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 15 |
11 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |