Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 26

Feb 19, 2023 at 12pm UK

Fir Park Stadium

Motherwell
2 - 0
Hearts

Obika (40'), Spittal (46')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Motherwell 2-1 St Mirren
Wednesday, February 15 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hearts

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Hamilton 0-2 Hearts
Friday, February 10 at 7.45pm in Scottish Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 50.7%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 24.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-2 (8.89%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
Motherwell	Draw	Hearts
24.84% ( -0.49)	24.47% ( -0.05)	50.7% ( 0.54)

Both teams to score 53.34% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.36% (

-0.21)

48.64% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.25% (

-0.19)

70.76% (

0.19)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.01% (

-0.53)

33.99% (

0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.33% (

-0.57)

70.67% (

0.58)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.8% (

0.13)

19.2% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.12% (

0.22)

50.88% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Motherwell 24.84%

Hearts 50.69%

Draw 24.47%

Motherwell	Draw	Hearts
1-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.25% Total : 24.84%	1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.47%	0-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 9.59% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.89% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 5.28% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 4.89% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 3.07% Total : 50.69%