Aberdeen logo
Celtic logo
Dundee logo
Dundee United
Falkirk
Hearts logo
Hibs logo
Kilmarnock logo
Livingston logo
Motherwell logo
Rangers logo
St Mirren logo
Potential new football header

Scottish Premiership

Motherwell logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 17
Feb 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Fir Park Stadium
St Mirren logo

Motherwell
2 - 1
St Mirren

van Veen (8'), Johnston (18')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Strain (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and St Mirren, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Raith Rovers 3-1 Motherwell
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in Scottish Cup

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Celtic 5-1 St Mirren
Saturday, February 11 at 5.30pm in Scottish Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 47.7%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 26.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.

Result
MotherwellDrawSt Mirren
47.7% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)25.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)26.65% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.32% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.91% (0.020000000000003 0.02)52.09% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.18% (0.016999999999999 0.02)73.81% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.15% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)21.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.92% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)55.07% (0.0019999999999953 0)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.66% (0.028000000000006 0.03)34.34% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.96% (0.030000000000001 0.03)71.04% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 47.7%
    St Mirren 26.65%
    Draw 25.64%
MotherwellDrawSt Mirren
1-0 @ 11.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.28% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 8.68% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.7% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.4% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.79%
4-0 @ 1.67% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 47.7%
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 7.5% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.64%
0-1 @ 8.02%
1-2 @ 6.52% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.32% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.53% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 26.65%

How you voted: Motherwell vs St Mirren

Motherwell
35.4%
Draw
30.8%
St Mirren
33.8%
65
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
St Mirren
1-0
Motherwell
Main (16')
Greive (37'), Offord (81'), Fraser (84')

Goss (61'), Lamie (89')
Jul 31, 2022 3pm
St Mirren
0-1
Motherwell

Strain (6'), Tanser (42'), Baccus (48'), Ayunga (84')
Van Veen (42' pen.)
O'Donnell (45+1'), Goss (64'), Speirs (73'), Maguire (84')
Lamie (82')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Motherwell
4-2
St Mirren
Goss (20'), Shields (21'), Cornelius (45'), Tait (76' og.)
Brophy (14'), McCarthy (38')
Power (80')
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
St Mirren
1-1
Motherwell
Gogic (81')
Tierney (90+2')
Slattery (34')
Oct 27, 2021 7.45pm
Motherwell
2-2
St Mirren
Watt (48', 51' pen.)
Goss (90+2')
Brophy (74', 79')
McAllister (71'), Brophy (79')