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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 17
Feb 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Fir Park Stadium
St Mirren logo

Motherwell
2 - 1
St Mirren

van Veen (8'), Johnston (18')
Obika (35'), Butcher (69')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Strain (24')
Kiltie (62'), Baccus (86'), Gallagher (90'), Small (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and St Mirren, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celtic 5-1 St Mirren
Saturday, February 11 at 5.30pm in Scottish Cup

We said: Motherwell 2-2 St Mirren

Neither side seems capable of keeping clean sheets, with only one shutout recorded in their last 10 Premiership games combined. Motherwell have changed head coach, but that is unlikely to be the fillip required to end an 11-game winless run in the competition at a ground where they struggle to keep visitors at arm's length. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 47.7%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 26.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.

Result
MotherwellDrawSt Mirren
47.7% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 25.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 26.65% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.32% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.91% (0.020000000000003 0.02)52.09% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.18% (0.016999999999999 0.02)73.81% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.15% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)21.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.92% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)55.07% (0.0019999999999953 0)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.66% (0.028000000000006 0.03)34.34% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.96% (0.030000000000001 0.03)71.04% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 47.7%
    St Mirren 26.65%
    Draw 25.64%
MotherwellDrawSt Mirren
1-0 @ 11.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.28% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 8.68% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.7% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.4% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.79%
4-0 @ 1.67% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 47.7%
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 7.5% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.64%
0-1 @ 8.02%
1-2 @ 6.52% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.32% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.53% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 26.65%

How you voted: Motherwell vs St Mirren

Motherwell
35.4%
Draw
30.8%
St Mirren
33.8%
65
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
St Mirren
1-0
Motherwell
Main (16')
Greive (37'), Offord (81'), Fraser (84')

Goss (61'), Lamie (89')
Jul 31, 2022 3pm
St Mirren
0-1
Motherwell

Strain (6'), Tanser (42'), Baccus (48'), Ayunga (84')
Van Veen (42' pen.)
O'Donnell (45+1'), Goss (64'), Speirs (73'), Maguire (84')
Lamie (82')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Motherwell
4-2
St Mirren
Goss (20'), Shields (21'), Cornelius (45'), Tait (76' og.)
Brophy (14'), McCarthy (38')
Power (80')
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 27, 2021 7.45pm
Motherwell
2-2
St Mirren
Watt (48', 51' pen.)
Goss (90+2')
Brophy (74', 79')
McAllister (71'), Brophy (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic110082275581
2RangersRangers110074245078
3Hearts101046341263
4Kilmarnock10104334952
5St Mirren10013945-643
6Dundee10014556-1141
Relegation Group
1Hibernian11004752-542
2Aberdeen11003649-1338
3Motherwell10014652-637
4St Johnstone10012549-2431
5Ross County10013258-2630
6Livingston11002459-3521
 
First Phase
1Celtic33246380265478
2RangersRangers33243672234975
3Hearts33195946341262
4Kilmarnock33131284334951
5St Mirren33127143843-543
6Dundee331011124454-1041
7Hibernian33912124451-739
8Motherwell33813124651-537
9Aberdeen33811143549-1435
10St Johnstone33710162446-2231
11Ross County3379173256-2430
12Livingston3339212259-3718


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