Celtic logo
Scottish Cup | Fifth Round
Feb 11, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Celtic Park
St Mirren logo

Celtic
5 - 1
St Mirren

Maeda (16'), Hatate (76' pen., 90+5'), Oh (80'), O'Riley (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
O'Hara (87' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Cup clash between Celtic and St Mirren, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Celtic

All competitions
Scottish Cup
Last Game: St Johnstone 1-4 Celtic
Sunday, February 5 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Cup
Last Game: St Mirren 0-1 Hibernian
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 90.65%. A draw had a probability of 6.7% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 2.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (10.83%) and 2-0 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.13%), while for a St Mirren win it was 1-2 (0.89%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result
CelticDrawSt Mirren
90.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)6.68% (0.0049999999999999 0)2.67% (0.0011000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 42.28% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
78.83% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)21.17% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
60.26% (-0.012 -0.01)39.74% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.32% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)2.68% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
87.62% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)12.38% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.45% (0.0039999999999978 0)56.55% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.21% (0.00099999999999945 0)88.79% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Celtic 90.64%
    St Mirren 2.67%
    Draw 6.68%
CelticDrawSt Mirren
3-0 @ 11.97%
4-0 @ 10.83%
2-0 @ 9.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 7.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 6.83% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 6.18%
2-1 @ 5.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-0 @ 5.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
6-0 @ 4.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 4.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
6-1 @ 2.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
7-0 @ 2.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.76%
7-1 @ 1.39% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-2 @ 1.27%
8-0 @ 1.11% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 90.64%
1-1 @ 3.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 1.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-0 @ 1.52% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 6.68%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 2.67%

How you voted: Celtic vs St Mirren

Celtic
96.9%
Draw
3.1%
St Mirren
0.0%
32
Head to Head
Jan 18, 2023 7.45pm
Celtic
4-0
St Mirren
Abada (15'), Furuhashi (35', 53'), Turnbull (86')
Sep 18, 2022 12pm
St Mirren
2-0
Celtic
O'Hara (43'), Ayunga (53')
Gallagher (64')
Mar 2, 2022 7.45pm
Celtic
2-0
St Mirren
Carter-Vickers (55'), McGregor (81')
McGregor (49'), Dembele (86')

Dunne (45+1'), Tanser (55')
Dec 22, 2021 7.45pm
St Mirren
0-0
Celtic

Tanser (18'), Offord (39')

Welsh (33'), Rogic (64')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Celtic
6-0
St Mirren
Abada (17', 22'), Turnbull (28', 44', 84'), Edouard (62')
Soro (86')

McGrath (39'), Main (46')
Power (19')
rhs 2.0


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