Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 81.71%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 5.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.97%) and 0-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.89%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 1-0 (2.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | Celtic |
| 5.9% ( | 12.39% ( | 81.71% ( |
| Both teams to score 42.92% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.07% ( | 34.93% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.09% ( | 56.91% ( |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.89% ( | 54.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.66% ( | 87.34% ( |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.52% ( | 6.48% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.8% ( | 24.2% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | Celtic |
| 1-0 @ 2.15% ( 2-1 @ 1.81% ( Other @ 1.94% Total : 5.9% | 1-1 @ 5.89% ( 0-0 @ 3.51% ( 2-2 @ 2.48% ( Other @ 0.51% Total : 12.39% | 0-2 @ 13.12% ( 0-3 @ 11.97% ( 0-1 @ 9.59% ( 0-4 @ 8.19% ( 1-2 @ 8.06% ( 1-3 @ 7.36% ( 1-4 @ 5.03% ( 0-5 @ 4.49% ( 1-5 @ 2.76% ( 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0-6 @ 2.05% ( 2-4 @ 1.55% ( 1-6 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 4.03% Total : 81.7% |