Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 47.36%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 26.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.