Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 47.36%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 26.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 47.36% ( | 26.26% ( | 26.38% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.28% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.37% ( | 54.64% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.03% ( | 75.97% ( |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.93% ( | 23.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.1% ( | 56.9% ( |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.06% ( | 35.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.28% ( | 72.72% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Motherwell | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 1-0 @ 12.15% ( 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 2-0 @ 8.92% ( 3-1 @ 4.46% ( 3-0 @ 4.36% ( 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 4-1 @ 1.64% ( 4-0 @ 1.6% ( Other @ 2.82% Total : 47.36% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0-0 @ 8.29% ( 2-2 @ 4.67% ( Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.26% | 0-1 @ 8.48% ( 1-2 @ 6.37% ( 0-2 @ 4.34% ( 1-3 @ 2.17% ( 2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 1.94% Total : 26.38% |