Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Mirren in this match.
Result | ||
St Mirren | Draw | Motherwell |
42.46% ( -0.01) | 27.82% | 29.72% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 46.92% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.31% | 58.69% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.77% | 79.23% ( -0) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.67% ( -0) | 27.32% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.22% ( -0) | 62.77% ( -0) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.55% ( 0) | 35.44% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.79% ( 0) | 72.21% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
St Mirren | Draw | Motherwell |
1-0 @ 12.56% 2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.15% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.66% 3-0 @ 3.53% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.9% 4-1 @ 1.19% 4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 42.45% | 1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 9.69% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.81% | 0-1 @ 10.04% 1-2 @ 6.76% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.21% 1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.8% 2-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.06% Total : 29.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 24 |
5 | Motherwell | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
6 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
7 | St Mirren | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 18 |
8 | Ross County | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 30 | -18 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 14 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 14 |
11 | Hearts | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
12 | Hibernian | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 12 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |