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Scottish Premiership

St Mirren logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 23
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
St Mirren Park
Motherwell logo

St Mirren
1 - 0
Motherwell

Main (16')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and Motherwell, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 0-0 Dundee (2-0 pen.)
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Scottish Cup

Motherwell

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Arbroath 0-2 Motherwell
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Scottish Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Mirren in this match.

Result
St MirrenDrawMotherwell
42.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)27.82%29.72% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 46.92% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.31%58.69% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.77%79.23% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.67% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)27.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)62.77% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.55% (0.0019999999999953 0)35.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)72.21% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 42.45%
    Motherwell 29.72%
    Draw 27.81%
St MirrenDrawMotherwell
1-0 @ 12.56%
2-1 @ 8.45% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.15% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.66%
3-0 @ 3.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.9%
4-1 @ 1.19%
4-0 @ 1.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 42.45%
1-1 @ 13.03%
0-0 @ 9.69% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.38%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.81%
0-1 @ 10.04%
1-2 @ 6.76% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.21%
1-3 @ 2.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 1.8%
2-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 29.72%

How you voted: St Mirren vs Motherwell

St Mirren
88.9%
Draw
0.0%
Motherwell
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Jul 31, 2022 3pm
St Mirren
0-1
Motherwell

Strain (6'), Tanser (42'), Baccus (48'), Ayunga (84')
Van Veen (42' pen.)
O'Donnell (45+1'), Goss (64'), Speirs (73'), Maguire (84')
Lamie (82')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Motherwell
4-2
St Mirren
Goss (20'), Shields (21'), Cornelius (45'), Tait (76' og.)
Brophy (14'), McCarthy (38')
Power (80')
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
St Mirren
1-1
Motherwell
Gogic (81')
Tierney (90+2')
Slattery (34')
Oct 27, 2021 7.45pm
Motherwell
2-2
St Mirren
Watt (48', 51' pen.)
Goss (90+2')
Brophy (74', 79')
McAllister (71'), Brophy (79')
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Motherwell
1-0
St Mirren
Cole (62')
Campbell (67')

Erhahon (48'), Shaughnessy (81'), McCarthy (90+1')