St Johnstone logo
Scottish Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 21, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
McDiarmid Park
Rangers logo

St Johnstone
0 - 1
Rangers

FT(HT: 0-1)
Barisic (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Cup clash between St Johnstone and Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Johnstone

All competitions
Last Game: St Johnstone 2-4 Livingston
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Rangers

All competitions
Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-3 Rangers
Wednesday, January 18 at 8pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 69.61%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 11.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.77%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.86%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 1-0 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.

Result
St JohnstoneDrawRangers
11.75% (0.194 0.19)18.64% (-0.093 -0.09)69.61% (-0.097000000000008 -0.1)
Both teams to score 46.76% (0.927 0.93)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.56% (0.905 0.91)44.44% (-0.902 -0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.19% (0.871 0.87)66.81% (-0.867 -0.87)
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.9% (0.913 0.91)47.1% (-0.909 -0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.44% (0.681 0.68)82.56% (-0.67700000000001 -0.68)
Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.39% (0.23400000000001 0.23)11.6% (-0.231 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.4% (0.498 0.5)36.59% (-0.495 -0.5)
Score Analysis
    St Johnstone 11.75%
    Rangers 69.6%
    Draw 18.64%
St JohnstoneDrawRangers
1-0 @ 4.11% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-1 @ 3.34% (0.072 0.07)
2-0 @ 1.55% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 0.9% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 11.75%
1-1 @ 8.86% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.47% (-0.216 -0.22)
2-2 @ 3.59% (0.11 0.11)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 18.64%
0-2 @ 12.67% (-0.26 -0.26)
0-1 @ 11.77% (-0.35 -0.35)
1-2 @ 9.54% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-3 @ 9.1% (-0.103 -0.1)
1-3 @ 6.85% (0.099 0.1)
0-4 @ 4.9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.69% (0.086 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.58% (0.102 0.1)
0-5 @ 2.11% (0.015 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.59% (0.052 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.39% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 69.6%

How you voted: St Johnstone vs Rangers

St Johnstone
26.1%
Draw
8.7%
Rangers
65.2%
23
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2022 12pm
St Johnstone
2-1
Rangers
Brown (41'), Clark (62')
Montgomery (59')
Tavernier (74')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Rangers
4-0
St Johnstone
Tillman (32'), Colak (62'), Arfield (80'), Lawrence (83')
Goldson (53')

Montgomery (38'), Phillips (52')
Mar 2, 2022 7.45pm
St Johnstone
0-1
Rangers

Hallberg (63')
Kamara (3')
Ughelumba (31')
Dec 15, 2021 7.45pm
Rangers
2-0
St Johnstone
Morelos (43'), Kent (49')
Arfield (58')

Gordon (46'), Craig (72'), McCart (80')
Sep 11, 2021 12.30pm
St Johnstone
1-2
Rangers
O'Halloran (51')
Muller (41'), Rooney (59'), Craig (59')
Roofe (58' pen.), Tavernier (79')
McLaughlin (10'), Roofe (59'), Morelos (59')
rhs 2.0


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