Celtic logo
Scottish Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 21, 2023 at 12.15pm UK
Celtic Park
Greenock Morton

Celtic
5 - 0
Morton

Mooy (18' pen., 84'), Furuhashi (21', 45+1'), Turnbull (42')
FT(HT: 4-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Cup clash between Celtic and Greenock Morton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Celtic

All competitions
Last Game: Celtic 4-0 St Mirren
Wednesday, January 18 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Greenock Morton

All competitions
Last Game: Hamilton 1-0 Morton
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 94.65%. A draw had a probability of 4.5% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 0.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 16.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (14.93%) and 2-0 (13.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (2.1%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (0.52%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 5-0 win for Celtic in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Celtic.

Result
CelticDrawGreenock Morton
94.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)4.46% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)0.89% (-0.001 -0)
Both teams to score 21.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.1% (0.018000000000001 0.02)25.9% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.91% (0.021999999999998 0.02)46.08% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.3% (0.0019999999999953 0)2.7% (-0.004 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
87.56% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)12.44% (-0.013 -0.01)
Greenock Morton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
22.03% (0.0019999999999989 0)77.97% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
2.63%97.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Celtic 94.63%
    Greenock Morton 0.89%
    Draw 4.46%
CelticDrawGreenock Morton
3-0 @ 16.52% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 14.93%
2-0 @ 13.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
5-0 @ 10.79% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.6% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
6-0 @ 6.5% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 4.11%
4-1 @ 3.72% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-1 @ 3.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
7-0 @ 3.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 2.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-1 @ 1.62% (0.00099999999999989 0)
8-0 @ 1.52% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4.17%
Total : 94.63%
0-0 @ 2.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-1 @ 1.89% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 4.46%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 0.89%

How you voted: Celtic vs Morton

Celtic
87.5%
Draw
3.1%
Greenock Morton
9.4%
32
Head to Head
Mar 3, 2018 12.30pm
Quarter-Finals
Celtic
3-0
Morton
Dembele (63', 71' pen.), Edouard (90')

Oliver (58'), O'Ware (72'), Ross (82')
Mar 6, 2016 12pm
Quarter-Finals
Celtic
3-0
Morton
Griffiths (14'), Mackay-Steven (25'), McGregor (35')
Sviatchenko (10')

Miller (44'), Barr (83')
rhs 2.0


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