Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 54.06%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 21.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hamilton Academical in this match.
Result | ||
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Greenock Morton |
54.06% ( -0.03) | 24.01% ( -0) | 21.93% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 51.37% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.41% ( 0.06) | 49.59% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.38% ( 0.06) | 71.61% ( -0.06) |
Hamilton Academical Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.74% ( 0.01) | 18.25% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.7% ( 0.02) | 49.3% ( -0.02) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.84% ( 0.07) | 37.16% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.05% ( 0.07) | 73.95% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Greenock Morton |
1-0 @ 11.53% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.51% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.37% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.34% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 3.34% Total : 54.05% | 1-1 @ 11.42% 0-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.01) Other @ 1% Total : 24.01% | 0-1 @ 6.72% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.32% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 1.69% Total : 21.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
2 | Livingston | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 33 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 31 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 25 |
6 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 18 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 18 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 16 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 31 | -23 | 6 |
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