Scottish Championship Gameweek 21
Jan 7, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Josh Mullin 32' goal

Ayr United vs Hamilton Academical - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Dec 23, 2022 7.45pm
Ayr 0 - 2 Dundee
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Dipo Akinyemi

Hamilton Academical

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Jan 2, 2023 3.00pm
Hamilton 0 - 1 Raith Rovers
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Daniel O'Reilly

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 28.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ayr United in this match.

Result

Ayr United 46.75% (+0.84)
Draw 24.95% (-0.13)
Hamilton Academical 28.3% (-0.72)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.77% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.84% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 48.16% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 29.68% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 70.32% (-0.10)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5 79.36% (+0.41)
Under 0.5 20.64% (-0.42)
Over 1.5 46.79% (+0.65)
Under 1.5 53.21% (-0.65)

Hamilton Academical Goals

Over 0.5 69.01% (-0.48)
Under 0.5 30.99% (+0.47)
Over 1.5 32.71% (-0.56)
Under 1.5 67.29% (+0.56)

Score analysis

Ayr United 46.75%
Draw 24.94%
Hamilton Academical 28.3%
Ayr United
1-0 @ 10.09% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 9.33% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 7.96% (+0.17)
3-1 @ 4.91% (+0.10)
3-0 @ 4.19% (+0.14)
3-2 @ 2.87% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.94% (+0.07)
4-0 @ 1.65% (+0.08)
4-2 @ 1.13% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 46.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.82% (-0.07)
0-0 @ 6.4% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.94%
Hamilton Academical
0-1 @ 7.49% (-0.14)
1-2 @ 6.93% (-0.13)
0-2 @ 4.39% (-0.14)
1-3 @ 2.71% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.71% (-0.08)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 28.3%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 15
Nov 11, 2022 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Steve Lawson 50' goal
  • Finn Ecrepont 80' goal
  • goal Dipo Akinyemi 4'
  • goal Dipo Akinyemi 69'
  • goal Ben Dempsey 83'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 3
Aug 13, 2022 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Dipo Akinyemi 3' goal
  • Andy Murdoch 66' yellowcard
  • Andy Murdoch 85' goal
  • goal Andrew Winter 14'
  • yellowcard Daniel O'Reilly 68'
  • goal Daniel O'Reilly 73'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 32
Apr 1, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Sean McGinty 61' yellowcard
  • Fraser Bryden 61' yellowcard
  • Kerr McInroy 90'+4' goal
  • goal Andrew Winter 6'
  • yellowcard David Moyo 61'
  • yellowcard Daniel O'Reilly 71'
  • yellowcard Steve Lawson 76'
  • yellowcard Andy Ryan 90'+5'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 24
Jan 29, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Kai Kennedy 7' goal
  • Daniel O'Reilly 70' yellowcard
  • Scott Martin 81' yellowcard
  • goal Sam Ashford 66'
  • yellowcard Andy Murdoch 70'
  • yellowcard Sean McGinty 81'
  • yellowcard Aaron Muirhead 90'+3'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 17
Dec 10, 2021 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Tomi Adeloye 48' goal
  • goal Lewis Smith 40'
  • yellowcard David Moyo 59'
  • yellowcard Miko Virtanen 86'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 6
Sep 18, 2021 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Andy Ryan 67' yellowcard
  • Reegan Mimnaugh 70' yellowcard
  • Lewis Smith 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joe Chalmers 35'
  • goal Steven Bradley 64'
  • goal Tomi Adeloye 78'