Scottish Championship Gameweek 18
Dec 17, 2022 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Harry Milne 21' goal
  • Brian Graham 45'+1' goal
  • Steven Lawless 56' goal
  • goal Dipo Akinyemi 9'
  • goal Logan Chalmers 47'

Partick Thistle vs Ayr United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Partick Thistle

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Dec 3, 2022 3.00pm
Cove Rangers 1 - 1 Partick
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Brian Graham

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Dec 3, 2022 3.00pm
Ayr 2 - 0 Raith Rovers
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Dipo Akinyemi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 56.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 20.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Partick Thistle would win this match.

Result

Partick Thistle 56.42% (+0.13)
Draw 23.44% (+0.17)
Ayr United 20.13% (-0.30)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.56% (-0.96)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.62% (-1.05)
Under 2.5 49.38% (+1.04)
Over 3.5 28.57% (-0.95)
Under 3.5 71.42% (+0.95)

Partick Thistle Goals

Over 0.5 82.69% (-0.34)
Under 0.5 17.3% (+0.33)
Over 1.5 52.34% (-0.59)
Under 1.5 47.66% (+0.58)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5 61.14% (-0.91)
Under 0.5 38.86% (+0.90)
Over 1.5 24.41% (-0.87)
Under 1.5 75.59% (+0.87)

Score analysis

Partick Thistle 56.41%
Draw 23.44%
Ayr United 20.13%
Partick Thistle
1-0 @ 11.79% (+0.37)
2-0 @ 10.34% (+0.21)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 6.05% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 5.72% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.11)
4-0 @ 2.65% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.51% (-0.07)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.07)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 56.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.15% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 6.72% (+0.29)
2-2 @ 4.62% (-0.14)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 23.44%
Ayr United
0-1 @ 6.36% (+0.12)
1-2 @ 5.27% (-0.10)
0-2 @ 3% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.66% (-0.08)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.08)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 20.13%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 7
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Logan Chalmers 16' goal
  • Darren Brownlie 39' goal
  • Josh Mullin 55' goal
  • Mark McKenzie 90'+1' goal
  • goal Lee Hodson 18'
  • goal Brian Graham 51'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 36
Apr 29, 2022 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Aaron Muirhead 5' goal
  • Tomi Adeloye 30' goal
  • Aaron Muirhead 61' goal
  • yellowcard Ross Docherty 26'
  • yellowcard Richard Foster 29'
  • goal Alex Jakubiak 81'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 20
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Brian Graham 51' goal
  • Olatunji Akinola 65' yellowcard
  • Brian Graham 77' yellowcard
  • Scott Tiffoney 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sam Ashford 16'
  • yellowcard Paddy Reading 50'
  • yellowcard Sean McGinty 80'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 14
Nov 13, 2021 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Markus Fjortoft 41' yellowcard
  • Nick McAllister 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Ross Docherty 30'
  • goal Brian Graham 33'
  • goal Brian Graham 81'
  • goal Shea Gordon 90'+2'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 8
Oct 2, 2021 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Zak Rudden 34' goal
  • Cammy Smith 45' goal
  • Ross Docherty 57' yellowcard
  • Zak Rudden 72' goal
  • Brian Graham 85' goal
  • Lewis Mayo 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tomi Adeloye 41'
  • yellowcard Aaron Muirhead 82'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 30
Mar 20, 2020 7.05pm
Somerset Park