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Ayr United
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Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
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Partick Thistle
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 18
Dec 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
 
Ayr United

Partick
3 - 2
Ayr

Milne (21'), Graham (45+1'), Lawless (56')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Akinyemi (9'), Chalmers (47')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Partick Thistle and Ayr United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cove Rangers 1-1 Partick
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Ayr 2-0 Raith Rovers
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 56.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 20.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Partick Thistle would win this match.

Result
Partick ThistleDrawAyr United
56.42% (0.126 0.13)23.44% (0.163 0.16)20.13% (-0.293 -0.29)
Both teams to score 50.56% (-0.951 -0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.62% (-1.042 -1.04)49.38% (1.038 1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.57% (-0.945 -0.95)71.42% (0.941 0.94)
Partick Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.69% (-0.33300000000001 -0.33)17.3% (0.33 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.34% (-0.583 -0.58)47.66% (0.58 0.58)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.14% (-0.903 -0.9)38.86% (0.9 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.41% (-0.865 -0.86)75.59% (0.86199999999999 0.86)
Score Analysis
    Partick Thistle 56.41%
    Ayr United 20.13%
    Draw 23.44%
Partick ThistleDrawAyr United
1-0 @ 11.79% (0.37 0.37)
2-0 @ 10.34% (0.21 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-0 @ 6.05% (0.06 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.72% (-0.082999999999999 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.107 -0.11)
4-0 @ 2.65% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.51% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.061 -0.06)
5-0 @ 0.93% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 56.41%
1-1 @ 11.15% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.72% (0.28 0.28)
2-2 @ 4.62% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 23.44%
0-1 @ 6.36% (0.114 0.11)
1-2 @ 5.27% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.66% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-3 @ 0.95% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 20.13%

Head to Head
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Ayr
4-2
Partick
Chalmers (16'), Brownlie (39' og.), Mullin (55'), McKenzie (90+1')
Young (41')
Hodson (18'), Graham (51')
Apr 29, 2022 7.45pm
Ayr
3-1
Partick
Muirhead (5' pen., 61' pen.), Adeloye (30')
Jakubiak (81')
Docherty (26'), Foster (29')
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Partick
1-0
Ayr
Graham (51')
Akinola (65'), Graham (77'), Tiffoney (90+4')

Ashford (16'), Reading (50'), McGinty (80')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Ayr
0-4
Partick

Fjortoft (41'), McAllister (90+2')
Docherty (30'), Graham (33', 81'), Gordon (90+2')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Partick
4-0
Ayr
Rudden (34', 72'), Smith (45'), Graham (85')
Docherty (57'), Mayo (90+2')

Adeloye (41'), Muirhead (82')