Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 56.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 20.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Partick Thistle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Partick Thistle | Draw | Ayr United |
| 56.42% ( | 23.44% ( | 20.13% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.56% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.62% ( | 49.38% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.57% ( | 71.42% ( |
| Partick Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.69% ( | 17.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.34% ( | 47.66% ( |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.14% ( | 38.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.41% ( | 75.59% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Partick Thistle | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 11.79% ( 2-0 @ 10.34% ( 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 3-0 @ 6.05% ( 3-1 @ 5.72% ( 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 4-0 @ 2.65% ( 4-1 @ 2.51% ( 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 5-0 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.75% Total : 56.41% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 2-2 @ 4.62% ( Other @ 0.95% Total : 23.44% | 0-1 @ 6.36% ( 1-2 @ 5.27% ( 0-2 @ 3% ( 1-3 @ 1.66% ( 2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 1.44% Total : 20.13% |