Airdrieonians
Arbroath
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Greenock Morton
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Ross County
St Johnstone logo
Ayr United
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 19
Dec 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Somerset Park
Dundee logo

Ayr
0 - 2
Dundee

FT(HT: 0-0)
McCowan (68', 84')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Dundee.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Partick 3-2 Ayr
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Falkirk 0-3 Dundee
Thursday, December 8 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.

Result
Ayr UnitedDrawDundee
32.67% (-0.201 -0.2)26.18% (0.119 0.12)41.15% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 52.96% (-0.452 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.49% (-0.553 -0.55)51.51% (0.553 0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.69% (-0.485 -0.48)73.31% (0.48399999999999 0.48)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.35% (-0.408 -0.41)29.65% (0.408 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.31% (-0.496 -0.5)65.69% (0.49600000000001 0.5)
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.28% (-0.205 -0.2)24.72% (0.205 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.73% (-0.289 -0.29)59.27% (0.289 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Ayr United 32.67%
    Dundee 41.15%
    Draw 26.18%
Ayr UnitedDrawDundee
1-0 @ 8.91% (0.097 0.1)
2-1 @ 7.57% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.07% (-0.055 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.2% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 0.93% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 32.67%
1-1 @ 12.45% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.33% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.18%
0-1 @ 10.24% (0.17 0.17)
1-2 @ 8.7% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.16% (0.073 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.05% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.33% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.46% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.42% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 41.15%

How you voted: Ayr vs Dundee

Ayr United
44.4%
Draw
0.0%
Dundee
55.6%
9
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Aug 26, 2022 7.45pm
Ayr
3-1
Dundee
Akinyemi (17', 67'), Houston (62')
Murdoch (73')
Rudden (4')
Sweeney (30')
Sweeney (90+2')
Apr 6, 2021 7pm
Ayr
0-3
Dundee
Anderson (68'), Afolabi (74'), McGowan (87')
Marshall (51'), Mullen (70')
Mar 16, 2021 7pm
Dundee
1-3
Ayr
Sow (86')
Adam (45')
McKenzie (18', 84'), Smith (49')
McKenzie (65'), Sinisalo (71'), Ndaba (90+2')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Ayr
2-0
Dundee
Smith (3'), Moffat (16')
Sinisalo (80')

Byrne (73'), Marshall (90+1')