Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 45.39%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
St Johnstone | Draw | St Mirren |
28.42% ( 0.02) | 26.19% ( -0.01) | 45.39% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 50.95% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.83% ( 0.05) | 53.17% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.26% ( 0.04) | 74.74% ( -0.04) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.48% ( 0.04) | 33.51% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.85% ( 0.04) | 70.15% ( -0.04) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.64% ( 0.02) | 23.36% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.67% ( 0.02) | 57.32% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
St Johnstone | Draw | St Mirren |
1-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.8% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.68% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.48% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.7% ( 0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 28.42% | 1-1 @ 12.44% 0-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.18% | 0-1 @ 11.38% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.05% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.28% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.39% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.01% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.83% Total : 45.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Motherwell | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
6 | St Mirren | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 21 |
7 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 17 |
9 | Hibernian | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 15 |
10 | Ross County | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 15 |
11 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |