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Scottish Premiership

St Johnstone logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 27
Feb 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
McDiarmid Park
St Mirren logo

St Johnstone
1 - 1
St Mirren

Rudden (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gogic (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Johnstone and St Mirren, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Johnstone

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee Utd 1-2 St Johnstone
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 1-0 Ross County
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 45.39%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
St JohnstoneDrawSt Mirren
28.42% (0.02 0.02)26.19% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)45.39% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.95% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.83% (0.046999999999997 0.05)53.17% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.26% (0.042000000000002 0.04)74.74% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.48% (0.042000000000002 0.04)33.51% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.85% (0.044 0.04)70.15% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.64% (0.018000000000001 0.02)23.36% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.67% (0.024999999999999 0.02)57.32% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    St Johnstone 28.42%
    St Mirren 45.39%
    Draw 26.18%
St JohnstoneDrawSt Mirren
1-0 @ 8.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.8% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 4.68% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 2.48% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.8% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.7% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 28.42%
1-1 @ 12.44%
0-0 @ 7.83% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.18%
0-1 @ 11.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.05% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 8.28% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.39% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-3 @ 4.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.4% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.6% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.46%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 45.39%

How you voted: St Johnstone vs St Mirren

St Johnstone
64.3%
Draw
7.1%
St Mirren
28.6%
14
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
St Mirren
2-2
St Johnstone
Kiltie (42'), O'Hara (81')
Carey (33' pen.), Clark (90+6')
Carey (41')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
St Johnstone
3-0
St Mirren
Clark (26'), Wright (66'), Carey (86' pen.)
Carey (33'), Mitchell (82')

Dunne (30'), Erhahon (58'), Ayunga (82'), Gallagher (82'), Fraser (85')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
St Johnstone
0-1
St Mirren

Gordon (80')
Kiltie (53')
Fraser (77'), Tait (90+1')
Feb 9, 2022 7.45pm
St Mirren
2-1
St Johnstone
Ronan (42' pen.), Greive (49')
Fraser (27'), Greive (67')
Hendry (28' pen.)
Davidson (33'), Gordon (63'), Hendry (82')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
St Johnstone
0-0
St Mirren

Kane (54'), Gordon (59'), Davidson (78'), Rooney (90+3')
Kane (86')

Power (25'), McGrath (90+2'), McCarthy (90+2')
rhs 2.0


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