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Scottish Premiership

Hibs logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 32
Apr 15, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Easter Road
Hearts logo

Hibernian
1 - 0
Hearts

Nisbet (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hibernian and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hibernian

All competitions
Last Game: Dundee Utd 2-1 Hibernian
Sunday, April 9 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 0-2 St Mirren
Saturday, April 8 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 45.93%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Hearts win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.

Result
HibernianDrawHearts
45.93% (0.033999999999999 0.03)23.06% (0.012 0.01)31.01% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 63.06% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62% (-0.101 -0.1)38% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.74% (-0.108 -0.11)60.26% (0.105 0.11)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.05% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)16.95% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.97% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)47.03% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.93% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)24.06% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.66% (-0.112 -0.11)58.34% (0.107 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Hibernian 45.93%
    Hearts 31.01%
    Draw 23.06%
HibernianDrawHearts
2-1 @ 9.15% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.24% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.43% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.42% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.86% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.8% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.4% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.71% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.69% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 45.93%
1-1 @ 10.31% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.08% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.83% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.06%
1-2 @ 7.34% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 5.81% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.14% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.1% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.97% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.1% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 31.01%

How you voted: Hibernian vs Hearts

Hibernian
20.0%
Draw
50.0%
Hearts
30.0%
10
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2023 2pm
Fourth Round
Hibernian
0-3
Hearts

Jeggo (18'), Bushiri (50')
Ginnelly (10'), Shankland (72'), Sibbick (90+6')
McKay (19'), Cochrane (27'), Shankland (50'), Ginnelly (90+7')
Shankland (90+1')
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Hearts
3-0
Hibernian
Shankland (8', 38'), Humphrys (90+4')

Cadden (11')
Aug 7, 2022 12pm
Hibernian
1-1
Hearts
Boyle (90+5')
Porteous (35'), Cabraja (64'), Henderson (90+1')
Shankland (22')
Haring (85')
Apr 16, 2022 12.15pm
Semi-Finals
Hearts
2-1
Hibernian
Simms (16'), Kingsley (21')
Cochrane (70'), Haring (82'), Moore (84'), Gordon (90+3')
Cadden (22')
Newell (11'), Clarke (25'), Scott (48'), Campbell (82'), Hanlon (82')
Newell (64')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Hearts
3-1
Hibernian
Halliday (45+1', 58'), Kingsley (47')
Haring (70')
Wright (5')
Doyle-Hayes (45+2'), Mueller (57'), Bushiri (71')