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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 28
Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Almondvale Stadium
Hibs logo

Livingston
1 - 4
Hibernian

Nouble (9')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Youan (28', 37'), Omeonga (61' og.), Kukharevych (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Livingston and Hibernian, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 45.69%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Livingston win was 1-0 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.

Result
LivingstonDrawHibernian
28.93% (0.206 0.21)25.38% (-0.113 -0.11)45.69% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 53.79% (0.495 0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.37% (0.585 0.59)49.63% (-0.586 -0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.35% (0.521 0.52)71.65% (-0.521 -0.52)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.71% (0.455 0.45)31.28% (-0.456 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.36% (0.525 0.52)67.64% (-0.52600000000001 -0.53)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.28% (0.20100000000001 0.2)21.71% (-0.202 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.12% (0.309 0.31)54.88% (-0.309 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Livingston 28.93%
    Hibernian 45.69%
    Draw 25.37%
LivingstonDrawHibernian
1-0 @ 7.89% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-1 @ 7.01% (0.052 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 2.71% (0.053 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.053 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.78% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 28.93%
1-1 @ 12.05% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 6.79% (-0.163 -0.16)
2-2 @ 5.35% (0.072 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.37%
0-1 @ 10.37% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-2 @ 9.21% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.92% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-3 @ 4.69% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-3 @ 4.03% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.72% (0.053 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.79% (0.023 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.54% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 45.69%

How you voted: Livingston vs Hibernian

Livingston
62.5%
Draw
12.5%
Hibernian
25.0%
8
Head to Head
Dec 24, 2022 2pm
Hibernian
4-0
Livingston
Nisbet (33'), Cadden (35'), Magennis (40', 50')

Holt (15')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Livingston
2-1
Hibernian
Nouble (6'), Obileye (86')
Montano (52')
Kenneh (51')
Boyle (52'), Cabraja (80')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Livingston
1-0
Hibernian
Pittman (57')
Pittman (86'), Holt (90+2'), Kelly (90+4')

Melkersen (51'), Henderson (90+2')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Hibernian
2-3
Livingston
Mitchell (6'), Cadden (32')
Murphy (79')
Obileye (18'), Fitzwater (53'), Forrest (59')
Holt (76')
Dec 8, 2021 7.45pm
Livingston
1-0
Hibernian
McMillan (16')
Stryjek (17'), Omeonga (49'), Penrice (50')

McGinn (36'), Doyle-Hayes (55'), Hanlon (61')
McGinn (85'), Hanlon (89')
rhs 2.0


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