Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 45.69%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Livingston win was 1-0 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.