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Livingston logo
Scottish Cup | Fifth Round
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Tony Macaroni Arena
Inverness CT

Livingston
0 - 3
Inverness


Devlin (57'), Shinnie (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mckay (51', 80'), Welsh (62')
Welsh (57'), Mckay (60'), Carson (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Cup clash between Livingston and Inverness Caledonian Thistle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Livingston

All competitions
Scottish Cup
Last Game: Livingston 3-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions
Scottish Cup
Last Game: Inverness 2-2 Morton
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

We said: Livingston 1-0 Inverness Caledonian Thistle

 We believe that Livingston will be too strong for Inverness in this cup tie, however, the game will be competitive without a huge disparity between the scores. We feel that Livingston will make the breakthrough in this affair and that they will progress through to the next round of the Scottish FA Cup. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 26.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
LivingstonDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
48.58% (0.078000000000003 0.08) 24.5% (-0.02 -0.02) 26.92% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Both teams to score 55.17% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.86% (0.053000000000004 0.05)47.14% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.62% (0.050000000000001 0.05)69.38% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.53% (0.054000000000002 0.05)19.46% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.68% (0.086999999999996 0.09)51.32% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.5% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)31.5% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.11% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)67.89% (0.018999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Livingston 48.57%
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 26.92%
    Draw 24.5%
LivingstonDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 10.03%
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.21% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.17% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.48% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.99% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.12% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.83% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 48.57%
1-1 @ 11.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.5%
0-1 @ 7.08% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.7% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.09% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.58% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.11%
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 26.92%

How you voted: Livingston vs Inverness

Livingston
100%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Jul 12, 2022 7.45pm
Livingston
1-2
Inverness
Holt (84')
Fitzwater (45'), Kelly (56')
Stryjek (59')
Samuels (37'), MacKay (67')
MacGregor (21'), Delaney (69'), Oakley (88')
Feb 8, 2020 3pm
Fifth Round
Inverness
1-0
Livingston
Welsh (61')
Tremarco (74'), Carson (90')

Lawless (45')
> Match Report
Apr 24, 2018 7.45pm
Livingston
0-1
Inverness
Polworth (46')
Jan 2, 2018 3pm
Inverness
1-1
Livingston
Doran (6')
Polworth (36'), Vigurs (36'), Calder (81')
Vigurs (43')
Lithgow (82')
Gallagher (41'), Halkett (84')
Nov 4, 2017 3pm
Livingston
0-0
Inverness

Mullen (40'), Longridge (74')

Donaldson (21'), Tremarco (44'), McKay (56')
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