Scottish Championship | Gameweek 21

Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK

Gayfield Park

Arbroath
1 - 4
Inverness

Ben El-Mhanni (26')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Mckay (9'), Henderson (45'), MacKay (65'), Nicolson (86')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Arbroath and Inverness Caledonian Thistle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arbroath

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Dundee 2-4 Arbroath
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Inverness 6-1 Cove Rangers
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 47.38%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win it was 0-1 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Arbroath	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
47.38% ( 1.55)	26.32% ( -0.55)	26.3% ( -1)

Both teams to score 49.04% (

0.85)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.08% (

1.47)

54.92% (

-1.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.79% (

1.2)

76.21% (

-1.19)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.82% (

1.38)

23.18% (

-1.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.93% (

1.97)

57.07% (

-1.96)

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.84% (

-0.03)

36.16% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.06% (

-0.04)

72.94% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Arbroath 47.38%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 26.3%

Draw 26.32%

Arbroath	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 12.25% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.27) 3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.27) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.16) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.16) Other @ 2.78% Total : 47.38%	1-1 @ 12.46% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.49) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.32%	0-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.5) 1-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.9% Total : 26.3%