Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 53.14%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 22.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dundee | Draw | Arbroath |
| 53.14% ( | 24.8% ( | 22.06% |
| Both teams to score 49.16% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.4% ( | 52.6% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.74% ( | 74.25% ( |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.24% ( | 19.76% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.19% ( | 51.81% ( |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.27% ( | 38.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.53% ( | 75.47% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 12.41% 2-0 @ 10.06% 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 3-0 @ 5.44% ( 3-1 @ 5.16% ( 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 4-0 @ 2.2% ( 4-1 @ 2.09% ( 4-2 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.8% Total : 53.14% | 1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 7.65% ( 2-2 @ 4.53% ( Other @ 0.85% Total : 24.8% | 0-1 @ 7.26% ( 1-2 @ 5.58% ( 0-2 @ 3.44% ( 1-3 @ 1.77% ( 2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 1.48% Total : 22.06% |