Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 53.45%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 21.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Arbroath |
| 53.45% ( | 24.9% ( | 21.65% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.38% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.63% ( | 53.37% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.09% ( | 74.91% ( |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.06% ( | 19.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.91% ( | 52.08% ( |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.43% ( | 39.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.74% ( | 76.26% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 12.72% ( 2-0 @ 10.25% ( 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 3-0 @ 5.51% ( 3-1 @ 5.11% ( 3-2 @ 2.37% ( 4-0 @ 2.22% ( 4-1 @ 2.06% ( 4-2 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.73% Total : 53.44% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0-0 @ 7.89% ( 2-2 @ 4.41% ( Other @ 0.8% Total : 24.89% | 0-1 @ 7.31% ( 1-2 @ 5.47% ( 0-2 @ 3.39% ( 1-3 @ 1.69% ( 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0-3 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 1.38% Total : 21.65% |