Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 51.59%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 23.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 51.59% ( | 24.65% ( | 23.76% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.61% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.63% ( | 50.37% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.69% ( | 72.31% ( |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.48% ( | 19.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.6% ( | 51.4% ( |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.12% ( | 35.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.34% ( | 72.66% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 11.44% ( 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 2-0 @ 9.35% ( 3-1 @ 5.22% ( 3-0 @ 5.09% ( 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 4-0 @ 2.08% ( 4-2 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 2.93% Total : 51.59% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( 0-0 @ 7% ( 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 3-3 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.65% | 0-1 @ 7.18% ( 1-2 @ 6.01% ( 0-2 @ 3.68% ( 1-3 @ 2.05% ( 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0-3 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 1.91% Total : 23.76% |