Scottish Championship | Gameweek 23

Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK

Cappielow Park, Sinclair Street, Greenock

Morton
1 - 2
Arbroath

Oakley (4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hamilton (63'), McKenna (77')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Greenock Morton and Arbroath.

Form, Standings, Stats

Greenock Morton

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Celtic 5-0 Morton
Saturday, January 21 at 12.15pm in Scottish Cup

Goals
for

Arbroath

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Arbroath 0-2 Motherwell
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Scottish Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 47.99%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 25.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Greenock Morton	Draw	Arbroath
47.99% ( 0.4)	26.77% ( 0.09)	25.24% ( -0.5)

Both teams to score 46.92% (

-0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.76% (

-0.67)

57.23% (

0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.92% (

-0.54)

78.08% (

0.53)

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.1% (

-0.1)

23.9% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.89% (

-0.15)

58.11% (

0.14)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.66% (

-0.81)

38.34% (

0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.9% (

-0.78)

75.09% (

0.78)

Score Analysis

Greenock Morton 47.98%

Arbroath 25.24%

Draw 26.76%

Greenock Morton	Draw	Arbroath
1-0 @ 13.11% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 47.98%	1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.72% Total : 26.76%	0-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.57% Total : 25.24%