Scottish Championship | Gameweek 22

Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK

Somerset Park

Ayr
2 - 2
Arbroath

Dempsey (38' pen.), McGinty (76')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Adarkwa (57'), Ben El-Mhanni (63')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Arbroath.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions

Last Game: Ayr 1-0 Hamilton
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Arbroath

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Arbroath 1-4 Inverness
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Ayr United	Draw	Arbroath
43.99% ( 0)	26.38% ( 0.44)	29.63% ( -0.44)

Both teams to score 51.08% (

-1.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.65% (

-1.94)

53.35% (

1.95)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.11% (

-1.67)

74.89% (

1.67)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.89% (

-0.85)

24.11% (

0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.59% (

-1.22)

58.41% (

1.22)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.3% (

-1.32)

32.7% (

1.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.75% (

-1.51)

69.25% (

1.51)

Score Analysis

Ayr United 43.99%

Arbroath 29.63%

Draw 26.37%

Ayr United	Draw	Arbroath
1-0 @ 11.21% ( 0.57) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.66% Total : 43.99%	1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.59) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.23) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.37%	0-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.35) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.58% Total : 29.63%