Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 60.84%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 17.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Hibernian in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Hibernian.